Beaver projection
Sat, Oct 17, 1:00 PM ET
Lincoln Financial Field · 80° · wind 8 mph
Beaver vs. Vegas
| ★ BEAVER | VEGAS | |
|---|---|---|
| Score (Charlotte–Temple) | 16–38 | – |
| Spread | Temple −21.6 | No line |
| Total | 53.5 | n/a |
| Temple win chance | 91% | – |
The call
Beaver’s Pick
Waiting on the Vegas line
How Beaver sees the margin
Range of likely outcomes around Temple by 21.61%
Charlotte by 14+
8%
Charlotte by 1–13
23%
Temple by 1–13
68%
Temple by 14+
No Vegas lines for this game yet.
Tale of the tape
ranks among 138 FBS teams entering this game · brighter = better of the two| Charlotte | Opponent-adjusted, vs. average FBS team | Temple |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency | ||
| −0.264 #138 | Offense EPA / play | +0.025 #54 |
| +0.122 #108 | Defense EPA / play allowed | +0.125 #110 |
| −9.8% #137 | Offense success rate | −2.2% #92 |
| +8.8% #135 | Defense success rate allowed | +4.6% #112 |
| −0.267 #137 | Rushing EPA / play | +0.096 #42 |
| −0.236 #123 | Passing EPA / play | −0.053 #78 |
| +0.065 #90 | Rush defense EPA allowed | +0.079 #97 |
| +0.162 #109 | Pass defense EPA allowed | +0.145 #100 |
| −13.7 #134 | Scoring offense (pts vs avg) | −3.7 #85 |
| +14.1 #136 | Scoring defense (pts vs avg) | +2.7 #84 |
| Situational | ||
| −9.9% #130 | Passing-down success (3rd & long) | −0.1% #54 |
| +10.9% #137 | Passing-down success allowed | +4.3% #109 |
| −1.51 #132 | Points per drive | −0.39 #86 |
| +1.51 #133 | Points per drive allowed | +0.31 #89 |
| Trenches | ||
| −0.62 #136 | Line yards per rush | +0.28 #43 |
| +0.19 #100 | Line yards per rush allowed | +0.00 #70 |
| +6.4% #135 | Runs stuffed at the line | −3.3% #52 |
| +2.2% #39 | Opponent runs stuffed | −4.7% #129 |
| +2.7% #134 | Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU) | −4.3% #18 |
| −3.0% #115 | Havoc created | −4.4% #134 |
| Big plays | ||
| −0.272 #136 | Rushing explosiveness | +0.004 #74 |
| −0.016 #117 | Passing explosiveness | +0.390 #5 |
| +0.09 #38 | Open-field yards per rush | +0.15 #33 |
| −0.168 #9 | Pass explosiveness allowed | −0.032 #58 |
| Style and schedule | ||
| 51% #114 | Run rate | 66% #7 |
| −7.8 #69 | Strength of schedule (avg opponent) | −5.8 #53 |
Tendencies
season to date · against the spread and over/under use closing lines| Charlotte | Season to date | Temple |
|---|---|---|
| 0-5 | Record | 2-3 |
| 0-1 | Conference | 1-1 |
| 0-3 | Home | 1-2 |
| 0-2 | Away | 1-1 |
| 2-3 | Against the spread | 4-0-1 |
| 2-3 | Over/under | 2-3 |
| 17.2 / 40.6 | Points for / against | 25.8 / 24.8 |
| -23.4 | Avg margin | +1.0 |
| -9.7 | Avg vs. the spread | +5.8 |
| 51.0 | Plays per game (excl. garbage time) | 55.6 |
Charlotte: last 5 games
| L8-59 | |
| L7-34 | |
| L21-26 | |
| L9-41 | |
| L41-43 |
Temple: last 5 games
| W17-13 | |
| L17-21 | |
| L48-49 | |
| L9-27 | |
| W38-14 |
