NCAAF › Teams › Toledo

Toledo

Mid-American · 2026
4-1
Record
9.8-2.2
Projected regular season
12%
Playoff chance
+2.5
Rating (pts vs. avg)
NextSat, Oct 10, 3:30 PMvs Buffalo95% to winMatchup →

Schedule

results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
DateOpponentResult / win chanceBeaver lineVegas
Sep 4
atMichigan State
L20-30+2.4+10
Sep 12
vsCentral Connecticut
W63-10−43−36.5
Sep 19
vsTemple
W49-48−11.9−4.5
Sep 26
vsSan Diego State
W41-16−11.6−2.5
Oct 3
atBall State
W39-24−21.6−20.5
Oct 10
vsBuffalo
95%−26.6−21
Oct 17
atEastern Michigan
78%−12.6–
Oct 24
vsWestern Michigan
66%−6.6–
Nov 4
atSacramento State
90%−20.5–
Nov 11
vsMassachusetts
93%−23.6–
Nov 20
vsBowling Green
94%−25.1–
Nov 27
atOhio
64%−5.8–

Rating by week

EPA per play vs. average
−0.11−0.07−0.03+0.01+0.05Entering week1234567891011121315Net · 1: −0.09Net · 2: −0.04Net · 3: −0.04Net · 4: −0.03Net · 5: −0.02Net · 6: −0.04Net · 7: −0.04Net · 8: −0.04Net · 9: −0.04Net · 10: −0.04Net · 11: −0.04Net · 12: −0.04Net · 13: −0.04Net · 15: −0.04Offense · 1: −0.05Offense · 2: −0.04Offense · 3: −0.06Offense · 4: −0.00Offense · 5: +0.00Offense · 6: +0.00Offense · 7: +0.00Offense · 8: +0.00Offense · 9: +0.00Offense · 10: +0.00Offense · 11: +0.00Offense · 12: +0.00Offense · 13: +0.00Offense · 15: +0.00Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.04Defense (lower is better) · 2: +0.00Defense (lower is better) · 3: −0.02Defense (lower is better) · 4: +0.03Defense (lower is better) · 5: +0.02Defense (lower is better) · 6: +0.04Defense (lower is better) · 7: +0.04Defense (lower is better) · 8: +0.04Defense (lower is better) · 9: +0.04Defense (lower is better) · 10: +0.04Defense (lower is better) · 11: +0.04Defense (lower is better) · 12: +0.04Defense (lower is better) · 13: +0.04Defense (lower is better) · 15: +0.04
● Net● Offense● Defense (lower is better)

Elo rating

after each game
15171532154715621577Sep 4Sep 12Sep 19Sep 26Oct 3Elo · Sep 4: 1521Elo · Sep 12: 1532Elo · Sep 19: 1536Elo · Sep 26: 1558Elo · Oct 3: 1572

Season to date

Record
4-1
Conference
1-0
Home
3-0
Away
1-1
Against the spread
2-2-1
Over/under
5-0
Points for / against
42.4 / 25.6
Avg margin
+16.8