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North Texas
American Athletic · 2026
3-2
Record
8.0-4.0
Projected regular season
1%
Playoff chance
+1.5
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 10, 3:30 PM
vs Charlotte
97% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 5
at
7
Indiana
L
16-52
+28.9
+39.5
Sep 12
vs
UNLV
W
44-6
−5.3
+3
Sep 19
at
Texas State
L
35-49
−3
+3
Sep 26
vs
Houston Christian
W
63-14
−36
−38.5
Oct 1
at
Tulsa
W
45-44
−5
−3
Oct 10
vs
Charlotte
97%
−30.3
−28.5
Oct 24
at
Navy
64%
−5.9
–
Oct 29
vs
Florida Atlantic
76%
−12
–
Nov 7
vs
Rice
84%
−16.3
–
Nov 14
at
UTSA
37%
+5.3
–
Nov 21
at
Tulane
59%
−3.8
–
Nov 28
vs
UAB
82%
−15.2
–
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.11
−0.04
+0.03
+0.10
+0.17
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: −0.09
Net · 2: −0.09
Net · 3: +0.04
Net · 4: −0.04
Net · 5: +0.05
Net · 6: +0.04
Net · 7: +0.04
Net · 8: +0.04
Net · 9: +0.04
Net · 10: +0.04
Net · 11: +0.04
Net · 12: +0.04
Net · 13: +0.04
Net · 15: +0.04
Offense · 1: −0.01
Offense · 2: +0.05
Offense · 3: +0.11
Offense · 4: +0.09
Offense · 5: +0.15
Offense · 6: +0.15
Offense · 7: +0.15
Offense · 8: +0.15
Offense · 9: +0.15
Offense · 10: +0.15
Offense · 11: +0.15
Offense · 12: +0.15
Offense · 13: +0.15
Offense · 15: +0.15
Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.08
Defense (lower is better) · 2: +0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.06
Defense (lower is better) · 4: +0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 5: +0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 6: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 7: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 8: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 9: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 10: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 11: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 12: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 13: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 15: +0.11
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1565
1574
1584
1593
1602
Sep 5
Sep 12
Sep 19
Sep 26
Oct 1
Elo · Sep 5: 1569
Elo · Sep 12: 1600
Elo · Sep 19: 1568
Elo · Sep 26: 1572
Elo · Oct 1: 1577
Season to date
Record
3-2
Conference
1-0
Home
2-0
Away
1-2
Against the spread
3-2
Over/under
4-1
Points for / against
40.6 / 33.0
Avg margin
+7.6