NCAAF › Teams › South Florida

South Florida

American Athletic · 2026
4-1
Record
8.2-3.8
Projected regular season
1%
Playoff chance
−1.0
Rating (pts vs. avg)
NextThu, Oct 8, 7:30 PMat UTSA29% to winMatchup →

Schedule

results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
DateOpponentResult / win chanceBeaver lineVegas
Sep 5
vsFlorida International
W19-9−16.4−14.5
Sep 12
atArmy
W28-24+1.4+3
Sep 19
vsDelaware State
W59-17−42.2−37.5
Sep 26
atBowling Green
W14-6−24.4−17.5
Oct 3
vsTemple
L13-17−9.7−5.5
Oct 8
atUTSA
29%+8.6+7
Oct 17
vsKent State
90%−20.4–
Oct 31
vsUAB
80%−13.2–
Nov 6
atEast Carolina
45%+2–
Nov 12
vsMemphis
48%+0.6–
Nov 21
atFlorida Atlantic
60%−4–
Nov 27
vsTulane
67%−7.1–

Rating by week

EPA per play vs. average
−0.14−0.08−0.02+0.05+0.11Entering week1234567891011121315Net · 1: −0.01Net · 2: −0.06Net · 3: −0.02Net · 4: −0.05Net · 5: −0.11Net · 6: −0.13Net · 7: −0.13Net · 8: −0.13Net · 9: −0.13Net · 10: −0.13Net · 11: −0.13Net · 12: −0.13Net · 13: −0.13Net · 15: −0.13Offense · 1: +0.00Offense · 2: −0.07Offense · 3: −0.01Offense · 4: +0.04Offense · 5: −0.02Offense · 6: −0.06Offense · 7: −0.06Offense · 8: −0.06Offense · 9: −0.06Offense · 10: −0.06Offense · 11: −0.06Offense · 12: −0.06Offense · 13: −0.06Offense · 15: −0.06Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.02Defense (lower is better) · 2: −0.00Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.00Defense (lower is better) · 4: +0.09Defense (lower is better) · 5: +0.08Defense (lower is better) · 6: +0.06Defense (lower is better) · 7: +0.06Defense (lower is better) · 8: +0.06Defense (lower is better) · 9: +0.06Defense (lower is better) · 10: +0.06Defense (lower is better) · 11: +0.06Defense (lower is better) · 12: +0.06Defense (lower is better) · 13: +0.06Defense (lower is better) · 15: +0.06
● Net● Offense● Defense (lower is better)

Elo rating

after each game
15751585159416041614Sep 5Sep 12Sep 19Sep 26Oct 3Elo · Sep 5: 1577Elo · Sep 12: 1595Elo · Sep 19: 1601Elo · Sep 26: 1611Elo · Oct 3: 1582

Season to date

Record
4-1
Conference
1-1
Home
2-1
Away
2-0
Against the spread
2-3
Over/under
2-3
Points for / against
26.6 / 14.6
Avg margin
+12.0