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Louisiana
Sun Belt · 2026
4-1
Record
8.8-3.2
Projected regular season
1%
Playoff chance
−2.0
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 10, 7:30 PM
at Louisiana Tech
52% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 5
vs
Lamar
W
38-7
−26.4
−20.5
Sep 12
at
19
USC
L
30-49
+27.7
+30.5
Sep 19
vs
UAB
W
21-14
−11.3
−7
Sep 26
at
Charlotte
W
34-7
−13.8
−9.5
Oct 3
vs
Arkansas State
W
23-20
−6.7
−4.5
Oct 10
at
Louisiana Tech
52%
−0.6
+3
Oct 17
vs
Troy
67%
−6.9
–
Oct 24
at
Southern Miss
66%
−6.7
–
Nov 7
vs
South Alabama
75%
−10.9
–
Nov 12
at
UL Monroe
91%
−21.5
–
Nov 21
vs
Coastal Carolina
81%
−14.1
–
Nov 28
at
Georgia State
46%
+1.8
–
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.21
−0.13
−0.05
+0.04
+0.12
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: −0.19
Net · 2: −0.17
Net · 3: −0.09
Net · 4: −0.09
Net · 5: −0.04
Net · 6: −0.06
Net · 7: −0.06
Net · 8: −0.06
Net · 9: −0.06
Net · 10: −0.06
Net · 11: −0.06
Net · 12: −0.06
Net · 13: −0.06
Net · 15: −0.06
Offense · 1: −0.09
Offense · 2: −0.09
Offense · 3: −0.02
Offense · 4: −0.07
Offense · 5: −0.10
Offense · 6: −0.08
Offense · 7: −0.08
Offense · 8: −0.08
Offense · 9: −0.08
Offense · 10: −0.08
Offense · 11: −0.08
Offense · 12: −0.08
Offense · 13: −0.08
Offense · 15: −0.08
Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 2: +0.08
Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.07
Defense (lower is better) · 4: +0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 5: −0.06
Defense (lower is better) · 6: −0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 7: −0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 8: −0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 9: −0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 10: −0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 11: −0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 12: −0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 13: −0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 15: −0.03
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1475
1488
1500
1513
1525
Sep 5
Sep 12
Sep 19
Sep 26
Oct 3
Elo · Sep 5: 1493
Elo · Sep 12: 1479
Elo · Sep 19: 1492
Elo · Sep 26: 1512
Elo · Oct 3: 1521
Season to date
Record
4-1
Conference
1-0
Home
3-0
Away
1-1
Against the spread
3-1-1
Over/under
1-4
Points for / against
29.2 / 19.4
Avg margin
+9.8