NCAAF › Week 7 › The Citadel at Texas A&M
AWAY · 1-0
The Citadel
2
1% to win
Beaver projection
Sat, Oct 17, 1:00 PM ET
Kyle Field · 52° · wind 17 mph
HOME · 3-2
Texas A&M
54
100% to win

Beaver vs. Vegas

★ BEAVERVEGAS
Score (The Citadel–Texas A&M)2–54–
SpreadTexas A&M −51.8No line
Total56.3n/a
Texas A&M win chance100%–

The call

Beaver’s Pick
Waiting on the Vegas line

How Beaver sees the margin

Range of likely outcomes around Texas A&M by 51.8
0%
The Citadel by 14+
0%
The Citadel by 1–13
1%
Texas A&M by 1–13
99%
Texas A&M by 14+

Add to your slip

★ Beaver’s side · ☆ Sam’s side · saved on My Slip

No Vegas lines for this game yet.

Tale of the tape

ranks among 138 FBS teams entering this game · brighter = better of the two
The Citadel
Opponent-adjusted, vs. average FBS team
Texas A&M
Efficiency
−0.198 Offense EPA / play+0.027 #52
+0.349 Defense EPA / play allowed−0.050 #36
−9.3% Offense success rate+2.5% #43
+15.1% Defense success rate allowed−4.2% #20
−0.055 Rushing EPA / play+0.066 #55
−0.161 Passing EPA / play+0.027 #50
+0.393 Rush defense EPA allowed−0.153 #14
+0.275 Pass defense EPA allowed+0.082 #84
−16.3 Scoring offense (pts vs avg)+4.9 #30
+20.3 Scoring defense (pts vs avg)−8.0 #11
Situational
−11.3% Passing-down success (3rd & long)+2.1% #39
+8.6% Passing-down success allowed−5.2% #15
−2.55 Points per drive+0.64 #27
+2.55 Points per drive allowed−1.02 #9
Trenches
−0.30 Line yards per rush+0.31 #33
+0.90 Line yards per rush allowed−0.25 #29
+0.8% Runs stuffed at the line−3.3% #54
−7.4% Opponent runs stuffed+2.5% #35
+0.6% Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)−3.3% #31
−5.3% Havoc created+1.6% #30
Big plays
+0.067 Rushing explosiveness−0.009 #81
+0.654 Passing explosiveness−0.017 #118
−0.28 Open-field yards per rush−0.16 #73
−0.092 Pass explosiveness allowed+0.181 #123
Style and schedule
77% Run rate57% #51
−27.8 Strength of schedule (avg opponent)+1.4 #15

Tendencies

season to date · against the spread and over/under use closing lines
The CitadelSeason to dateTexas A&M
1-0Record3-2
0-0Conference1-2
0-0Home3-1
1-0Away0-1
1-0Against the spread3-2
1-0Over/under2-3
43.0 / 41.0Points for / against31.8 / 18.6
+2.0Avg margin+13.2
+22.5Avg vs. the spread-1.9
61.4Plays per game (excl. garbage time)62.0

The Citadel: last 1 games

W43-41
atCharlotte
covered

Texas A&M: last 5 games

W34-7
vsArkansas
covered
L6-35
atLSU
didn’t cover
L21-31
vsKentucky
didn’t cover
W48-20
vsArizona State
covered
W50-0
vsMissouri State
covered

Rating trend

net EPA per play vs. an average team, entering each week
−0.68−0.42−0.15+0.11+0.37Entering week1234567The Citadel · 1: −0.60The Citadel · 2: −0.49The Citadel · 3: −0.52The Citadel · 4: −0.50The Citadel · 5: −0.61The Citadel · 6: −0.55The Citadel · 7: −0.55Texas A&M · 1: +0.23Texas A&M · 2: +0.27Texas A&M · 3: +0.30Texas A&M · 4: +0.09Texas A&M · 5: +0.05Texas A&M · 6: +0.08Texas A&M · 7: +0.08
● The Citadel● Texas A&M