BEAVER
MODEL
Home
NFL
NCAAF
NBA
NCAAB
MLB
How It Works
My Slip
NCAAF
›
Teams
› Arizona State
Arizona State
Big 12 · 2026
2-2
Record
5.6-6.4
Projected regular season
0%
Playoff chance
+2.4
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 10, 9:30 PM
vs Hawai'i
93% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 5
vs
Morgan State
W
70-7
−48.7
−43.5
Sep 12
at
Texas A&M
L
20-48
+19
+15.5
Sep 19
vs
Kansas
W
24-17
−7
−5.5
Oct 3
vs
Baylor
L
19-55
−5.7
−3.5
Oct 10
vs
Hawai'i
93%
−23.3
−20.5
Oct 17
at
11
Texas Tech
13%
+17.8
–
Oct 24
vs
Kansas State
49%
+0.4
–
Oct 31
at
8
BYU
16%
+15.8
–
Nov 7
vs
Colorado
67%
−7.1
–
Nov 14
at
UCF
37%
+5.5
–
Nov 21
vs
18
Oklahoma State
61%
−4.7
–
Nov 28
at
Arizona
27%
+9.9
+4.5
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.11
−0.05
+0.02
+0.08
+0.15
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: +0.03
Net · 2: +0.12
Net · 3: +0.13
Net · 4: −0.03
Net · 5: −0.04
Net · 6: −0.09
Net · 7: −0.09
Net · 8: −0.09
Net · 9: −0.09
Net · 10: −0.09
Net · 11: −0.09
Net · 12: −0.09
Net · 13: −0.09
Net · 15: −0.09
Offense · 1: +0.01
Offense · 2: +0.11
Offense · 3: +0.05
Offense · 4: −0.07
Offense · 5: −0.08
Offense · 6: −0.06
Offense · 7: −0.06
Offense · 8: −0.06
Offense · 9: −0.06
Offense · 10: −0.06
Offense · 11: −0.06
Offense · 12: −0.06
Offense · 13: −0.06
Offense · 15: −0.06
Defense (lower is better) · 1: −0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 2: −0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 3: −0.07
Defense (lower is better) · 4: −0.04
Defense (lower is better) · 5: −0.04
Defense (lower is better) · 6: +0.04
Defense (lower is better) · 7: +0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 8: +0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 9: +0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 10: +0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 11: +0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 12: +0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 13: +0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 15: +0.03
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1507
1522
1536
1550
1565
Sep 5
Sep 12
Sep 19
Oct 3
Elo · Sep 5: 1561
Elo · Sep 12: 1539
Elo · Sep 19: 1556
Elo · Oct 3: 1511
Season to date
Record
2-2
Conference
1-1
Home
1-1
Away
0-1
Against the spread
2-2
Over/under
3-1
Points for / against
33.2 / 31.8
Avg margin
+1.5