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Wisconsin
Big Ten · 2026
4-1
Record
8.0-4.0
Projected regular season
3%
Playoff chance
+8.9
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 17, 12:00 AM
at UCLA
25% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 6
vs
3
Notre Dame
L
13-41
+24.4
+21
Sep 12
vs
Western Illinois
W
36-9
−44
−43.5
Sep 19
vs
Eastern Michigan
W
54-10
−19
−23.5
Sep 26
at
Penn State
W
24-20
+12.7
+9.5
Oct 3
vs
Michigan State
W
31-3
−12.6
−8.5
Oct 17
at
21
UCLA
25%
+10.7
–
Oct 24
vs
19
USC
50%
−0
–
Oct 31
at
20
Iowa
36%
+5.5
–
Nov 7
vs
Rutgers
84%
−16
–
Nov 14
at
Maryland
73%
−9.7
–
Nov 21
at
Purdue
68%
−7.7
–
Nov 27
vs
Minnesota
62%
−4.8
–
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.11
−0.05
+0.01
+0.07
+0.13
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: −0.01
Net · 2: −0.04
Net · 3: −0.09
Net · 4: −0.04
Net · 5: +0.04
Net · 6: +0.11
Net · 7: +0.11
Net · 8: +0.11
Net · 9: +0.11
Net · 10: +0.11
Net · 11: +0.11
Net · 12: +0.11
Net · 13: +0.11
Net · 15: +0.11
Offense · 1: −0.03
Offense · 2: −0.03
Offense · 3: −0.04
Offense · 4: −0.01
Offense · 5: −0.00
Offense · 6: +0.02
Offense · 7: +0.02
Offense · 8: +0.02
Offense · 9: +0.02
Offense · 10: +0.02
Offense · 11: +0.02
Offense · 12: +0.02
Offense · 13: +0.02
Offense · 15: +0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 1: −0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 2: +0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.05
Defense (lower is better) · 4: +0.04
Defense (lower is better) · 5: −0.04
Defense (lower is better) · 6: −0.09
Defense (lower is better) · 7: −0.09
Defense (lower is better) · 8: −0.09
Defense (lower is better) · 9: −0.09
Defense (lower is better) · 10: −0.09
Defense (lower is better) · 11: −0.09
Defense (lower is better) · 12: −0.09
Defense (lower is better) · 13: −0.09
Defense (lower is better) · 15: −0.09
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1462
1485
1508
1531
1555
Sep 6
Sep 12
Sep 19
Sep 26
Oct 3
Elo · Sep 6: 1468
Elo · Sep 12: 1476
Elo · Sep 19: 1498
Elo · Sep 26: 1526
Elo · Oct 3: 1548
Season to date
Record
4-1
Conference
2-0
Home
3-0
Away
1-0
Against the spread
3-2
Over/under
3-2
Points for / against
31.6 / 16.6
Avg margin
+15.0