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Western Kentucky
Conference USA · 2026
1-4
Record
4.2-7.8
Projected regular season
0%
Playoff chance
−12.6
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Thu, Oct 8, 7:00 PM
vs Missouri State
60% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 5
at
Nevada
L
14-49
−4.4
−1.5
Sep 12
at
2
Georgia
L
20-70
+40.4
+40.5
Sep 19
at
7
Indiana
L
0-38
+35.6
+44.5
Sep 26
vs
Mercyhurst
W
52-7
−33.7
−39.5
Oct 1
at
New Mexico State
L
13-34
−3.9
+1.5
Oct 8
vs
Missouri State
60%
−4
−2.5
Oct 14
at
Sam Houston
36%
+5.9
–
Oct 27
vs
Delaware
51%
−0.6
–
Nov 7
at
Middle Tennessee
66%
−6.7
–
Nov 14
vs
Jacksonville State
39%
+4.4
–
Nov 21
at
Liberty
18%
+14.7
–
Nov 28
vs
Kennesaw State
44%
+2.4
–
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.51
−0.29
−0.07
+0.16
+0.38
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: −0.17
Net · 2: −0.32
Net · 3: −0.45
Net · 4: −0.44
Net · 5: −0.37
Net · 6: −0.38
Net · 7: −0.38
Net · 8: −0.38
Net · 9: −0.38
Net · 10: −0.38
Net · 11: −0.38
Net · 12: −0.38
Net · 13: −0.38
Net · 15: −0.38
Offense · 1: −0.08
Offense · 2: −0.12
Offense · 3: −0.13
Offense · 4: −0.18
Offense · 5: −0.13
Offense · 6: −0.19
Offense · 7: −0.19
Offense · 8: −0.19
Offense · 9: −0.19
Offense · 10: −0.19
Offense · 11: −0.19
Offense · 12: −0.19
Offense · 13: −0.19
Offense · 15: −0.19
Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.09
Defense (lower is better) · 2: +0.20
Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.32
Defense (lower is better) · 4: +0.26
Defense (lower is better) · 5: +0.24
Defense (lower is better) · 6: +0.19
Defense (lower is better) · 7: +0.18
Defense (lower is better) · 8: +0.18
Defense (lower is better) · 9: +0.18
Defense (lower is better) · 10: +0.18
Defense (lower is better) · 11: +0.18
Defense (lower is better) · 12: +0.18
Defense (lower is better) · 13: +0.18
Defense (lower is better) · 15: +0.18
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1415
1428
1442
1456
1470
Sep 5
Sep 12
Sep 19
Sep 26
Oct 1
Elo · Sep 5: 1466
Elo · Sep 12: 1454
Elo · Sep 19: 1447
Elo · Sep 26: 1456
Elo · Oct 1: 1418
Season to date
Record
1-4
Conference
0-1
Home
1-0
Away
0-4
Against the spread
2-3
Over/under
3-2
Points for / against
19.8 / 39.6
Avg margin
-19.8