NCAAF › Teams › USC

19USC

Big Ten · 2026
5-1
Record
7.9-4.1
Projected regular season
7%
Playoff chance
+14.1
Rating (pts vs. avg)
NextSat, Oct 10, 7:30 PMat Penn State58% to winMatchup →

Schedule

results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
DateOpponentResult / win chanceBeaver lineVegas
Aug 29
vsSan José State
W42-26−34.2−37.5
Sep 4
vsFresno State
W39-0−22.6−21.5
Sep 12
vsLouisiana
W49-30−27.7−30.5
Sep 19
atRutgers
W42-35−19.5−21
Sep 26
vs13Oregon
L27-41+1+3.5
Oct 3
vsWashington
W25-21−11.9−7.5
Oct 10
atPenn State
58%−3.1+1.5
Oct 24
atWisconsin
50%+0–
Oct 31
vs5Ohio State
25%+11.3+7.5
Nov 14
at7Indiana
24%+11.4+10
Nov 21
vsMaryland
89%−20–
Nov 28
at21UCLA
41%+3.6−10.5

Rating by week

EPA per play vs. average
−0.09−0.00+0.09+0.17+0.26Entering week1234567891011121315Net · 1: +0.23Net · 2: +0.23Net · 3: +0.17Net · 4: +0.15Net · 5: +0.14Net · 6: +0.14Net · 7: +0.14Net · 8: +0.14Net · 9: +0.14Net · 10: +0.14Net · 11: +0.14Net · 12: +0.14Net · 13: +0.14Net · 15: +0.14Offense · 1: +0.17Offense · 2: +0.18Offense · 3: +0.17Offense · 4: +0.18Offense · 5: +0.21Offense · 6: +0.19Offense · 7: +0.19Offense · 8: +0.19Offense · 9: +0.19Offense · 10: +0.19Offense · 11: +0.19Offense · 12: +0.19Offense · 13: +0.19Offense · 15: +0.19Defense (lower is better) · 1: −0.06Defense (lower is better) · 2: −0.05Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.00Defense (lower is better) · 4: +0.04Defense (lower is better) · 5: +0.07Defense (lower is better) · 6: +0.05Defense (lower is better) · 7: +0.05Defense (lower is better) · 8: +0.05Defense (lower is better) · 9: +0.05Defense (lower is better) · 10: +0.05Defense (lower is better) · 11: +0.05Defense (lower is better) · 12: +0.05Defense (lower is better) · 13: +0.05Defense (lower is better) · 15: +0.05
● Net● Offense● Defense (lower is better)

Elo rating

after each game
16081622163616491663Aug 29Sep 4Sep 12Sep 19Sep 26Oct 3Elo · Aug 29: 1612Elo · Sep 4: 1635Elo · Sep 12: 1649Elo · Sep 19: 1659Elo · Sep 26: 1629Elo · Oct 3: 1642

Season to date

Record
5-1
Conference
2-1
Home
4-1
Away
1-0
Against the spread
1-5
Over/under
4-2
Points for / against
37.3 / 25.5
Avg margin
+11.8