BEAVER
MODEL
Home
NFL
NCAAF
NBA
NCAAB
MLB
How It Works
My Slip
NCAAF
›
Teams
› UC Davis
UC Davis
Big Sky · 2026
0-1
Record
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 12
at
24
SMU
L
10-56
+34.5
+32.5
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.60
−0.36
−0.11
+0.13
+0.37
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: −0.26
Net · 2: −0.27
Net · 3: −0.42
Net · 4: −0.44
Net · 5: −0.53
Net · 6: −0.49
Net · 7: −0.49
Net · 8: −0.49
Net · 9: −0.49
Net · 10: −0.49
Net · 11: −0.49
Net · 12: −0.49
Net · 13: −0.49
Net · 15: −0.49
Offense · 1: −0.07
Offense · 2: −0.11
Offense · 3: −0.19
Offense · 4: −0.21
Offense · 5: −0.23
Offense · 6: −0.19
Offense · 7: −0.19
Offense · 8: −0.19
Offense · 9: −0.19
Offense · 10: −0.19
Offense · 11: −0.19
Offense · 12: −0.19
Offense · 13: −0.19
Offense · 15: −0.19
Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.19
Defense (lower is better) · 2: +0.15
Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.23
Defense (lower is better) · 4: +0.23
Defense (lower is better) · 5: +0.30
Defense (lower is better) · 6: +0.30
Defense (lower is better) · 7: +0.30
Defense (lower is better) · 8: +0.30
Defense (lower is better) · 9: +0.30
Defense (lower is better) · 10: +0.30
Defense (lower is better) · 11: +0.30
Defense (lower is better) · 12: +0.30
Defense (lower is better) · 13: +0.30
Defense (lower is better) · 15: +0.30
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1359
1373
1386
1399
1412
Aug 29
Sep 5
Sep 12
Sep 19
Sep 26
Oct 3
Elo · Aug 29: 1377
Elo · Sep 5: 1408
Elo · Sep 12: 1396
Elo · Sep 19: 1404
Elo · Sep 26: 1363
Elo · Oct 3: 1374
Season to date
Record
0-1
Conference
0-0
Home
0-0
Away
0-1
Against the spread
0-1
Over/under
1-0
Points for / against
10.0 / 56.0
Avg margin
-46.0