BEAVER
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› Tulsa
Tulsa
American Athletic · 2026
3-2
Record
6.8-5.2
Projected regular season
0%
Playoff chance
−5.4
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 10, 3:30 PM
at Navy
49% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 5
vs
18
Oklahoma State
W
24-10
−2.9
+13.5
Sep 12
at
Sam Houston
W
23-17
−0.5
−12.5
Sep 19
vs
East Texas A&M
W
42-0
−36.3
−41.5
Sep 26
at
Arkansas
L
6-34
+1.6
+7
Oct 1
vs
North Texas
L
44-45
+5
+3
Oct 10
at
Navy
49%
+0.3
+2.5
Oct 17
at
Rice
57%
−2.8
–
Oct 23
vs
Army
53%
−1.1
–
Nov 7
at
Tulane
41%
+3.6
–
Nov 14
vs
Florida Atlantic
60%
−4.2
–
Nov 21
vs
Charlotte
91%
−21.7
–
Nov 28
at
UTSA
24%
+11.2
–
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.22
−0.14
−0.05
+0.03
+0.11
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: −0.19
Net · 2: −0.10
Net · 3: −0.10
Net · 4: −0.09
Net · 5: −0.09
Net · 6: −0.07
Net · 7: −0.07
Net · 8: −0.07
Net · 9: −0.07
Net · 10: −0.07
Net · 11: −0.07
Net · 12: −0.07
Net · 13: −0.07
Net · 15: −0.07
Offense · 1: −0.11
Offense · 2: −0.09
Offense · 3: −0.08
Offense · 4: −0.08
Offense · 5: −0.09
Offense · 6: −0.08
Offense · 7: −0.08
Offense · 8: −0.08
Offense · 9: −0.08
Offense · 10: −0.08
Offense · 11: −0.08
Offense · 12: −0.08
Offense · 13: −0.08
Offense · 15: −0.08
Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.09
Defense (lower is better) · 2: +0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 4: +0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 5: −0.00
Defense (lower is better) · 6: −0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 7: −0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 8: −0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 9: −0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 10: −0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 11: −0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 12: −0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 13: −0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 15: −0.01
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1400
1409
1419
1428
1438
Sep 5
Sep 12
Sep 19
Sep 26
Oct 1
Elo · Sep 5: 1406
Elo · Sep 12: 1426
Elo · Sep 19: 1435
Elo · Sep 26: 1407
Elo · Oct 1: 1403
Season to date
Record
3-2
Conference
0-1
Home
2-1
Away
1-1
Against the spread
3-2
Over/under
1-4
Points for / against
27.8 / 21.2
Avg margin
+6.6