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11
Texas Tech
Big 12 · 2026
5-0
Record
10.5-1.5
Projected regular season
62%
Playoff chance
+16.1
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 17, 3:30 PM
vs Arizona State
87% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 5
vs
Abilene Christian
W
33-10
−45.4
−45.5
Sep 12
at
Oregon State
W
35-24
−16.3
−25.5
Sep 18
vs
22
Houston
W
28-26
−7.3
−7.5
Sep 26
vs
Sam Houston
W
49-14
−24.6
−34.5
Oct 3
at
Colorado
W
29-7
−15.8
−13.5
Oct 17
vs
Arizona State
87%
−17.8
–
Oct 24
at
Cincinnati
80%
−13.6
–
Oct 31
vs
Arizona
73%
−9.8
–
Nov 7
vs
West Virginia
91%
−21.9
–
Nov 14
at
18
Oklahoma State
78%
−12.3
−15.5
Nov 21
at
Baylor
60%
−4.1
–
Nov 26
vs
TCU
76%
−11.4
−16.5
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.20
−0.08
+0.04
+0.16
+0.29
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: +0.25
Net · 2: +0.16
Net · 3: +0.10
Net · 4: +0.09
Net · 5: +0.14
Net · 6: +0.15
Net · 7: +0.15
Net · 8: +0.15
Net · 9: +0.15
Net · 10: +0.15
Net · 11: +0.15
Net · 12: +0.15
Net · 13: +0.15
Net · 15: +0.15
Offense · 1: +0.09
Offense · 2: +0.02
Offense · 3: +0.02
Offense · 4: +0.05
Offense · 5: +0.06
Offense · 6: +0.03
Offense · 7: +0.04
Offense · 8: +0.04
Offense · 9: +0.04
Offense · 10: +0.04
Offense · 11: +0.04
Offense · 12: +0.04
Offense · 13: +0.04
Offense · 15: +0.04
Defense (lower is better) · 1: −0.17
Defense (lower is better) · 2: −0.14
Defense (lower is better) · 3: −0.08
Defense (lower is better) · 4: −0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 5: −0.07
Defense (lower is better) · 6: −0.12
Defense (lower is better) · 7: −0.12
Defense (lower is better) · 8: −0.12
Defense (lower is better) · 9: −0.12
Defense (lower is better) · 10: −0.12
Defense (lower is better) · 11: −0.12
Defense (lower is better) · 12: −0.12
Defense (lower is better) · 13: −0.12
Defense (lower is better) · 15: −0.12
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1660
1670
1680
1690
1700
Sep 5
Sep 12
Sep 18
Sep 26
Oct 3
Elo · Sep 5: 1662
Elo · Sep 12: 1671
Elo · Sep 18: 1677
Elo · Sep 26: 1684
Elo · Oct 3: 1697
Season to date
Record
5-0
Conference
2-0
Home
3-0
Away
2-0
Against the spread
2-3
Over/under
3-2
Points for / against
34.8 / 16.2
Avg margin
+18.6