NCAAF › Teams › Southern Miss

Southern Miss

Sun Belt · 2026
1-4
Record
4.1-7.9
Projected regular season
0%
Playoff chance
−9.8
Rating (pts vs. avg)
NextSat, Oct 17, 7:00 PMvs Arkansas State46% to winMatchup →

Schedule

results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
DateOpponentResult / win chanceBeaver lineVegas
Sep 5
vsAlcorn State
W49-3−35.3−20.5
Sep 12
atAuburn
L8-43+13.9+32.5
Sep 19
vsUConn
L20-48−9.9+3.5
Sep 26
atTulane
L21-24+10.4+17.5
Oct 6
atTroy
L34-55+2.6+9.5
Oct 17
vsArkansas State
46%+1.8–
Oct 24
vsLouisiana
34%+6.7–
Oct 31
atUL Monroe
79%−12.8–
Nov 5
vsJames Madison
18%+14.7–
Nov 14
atLouisiana Tech
29%+9–
Nov 21
vsSouth Alabama
53%−1.1–
Nov 28
atOld Dominion
53%−1.4–

Rating by week

EPA per play vs. average
−0.29−0.17−0.05+0.07+0.19Entering week1234567891011121315Net · 1: −0.11Net · 2: −0.05Net · 3: −0.13Net · 4: −0.25Net · 5: −0.19Net · 6: −0.21Net · 7: −0.25Net · 8: −0.25Net · 9: −0.25Net · 10: −0.25Net · 11: −0.25Net · 12: −0.25Net · 13: −0.25Net · 15: −0.25Offense · 1: −0.06Offense · 2: −0.03Offense · 3: −0.06Offense · 4: −0.15Offense · 5: −0.11Offense · 6: −0.12Offense · 7: −0.09Offense · 8: −0.09Offense · 9: −0.09Offense · 10: −0.09Offense · 11: −0.09Offense · 12: −0.09Offense · 13: −0.09Offense · 15: −0.09Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.05Defense (lower is better) · 2: +0.02Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.07Defense (lower is better) · 4: +0.10Defense (lower is better) · 5: +0.08Defense (lower is better) · 6: +0.09Defense (lower is better) · 7: +0.16Defense (lower is better) · 8: +0.16Defense (lower is better) · 9: +0.16Defense (lower is better) · 10: +0.16Defense (lower is better) · 11: +0.16Defense (lower is better) · 12: +0.16Defense (lower is better) · 13: +0.16Defense (lower is better) · 15: +0.16
● Net● Offense● Defense (lower is better)

Elo rating

after each game
13661389141214351458Sep 5Sep 12Sep 19Sep 26Oct 6Elo · Sep 5: 1452Elo · Sep 12: 1428Elo · Sep 19: 1397Elo · Sep 26: 1391Elo · Oct 6: 1372

Season to date

Record
1-4
Conference
0-1
Home
1-1
Away
0-3
Against the spread
2-3
Over/under
3-2
Points for / against
26.4 / 34.6
Avg margin
-8.2