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South Alabama
Sun Belt · 2026
3-2
Record
6.0-6.0
Projected regular season
0%
Playoff chance
−9.8
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Thu, Oct 8, 7:30 PM
at Arkansas State
37% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 5
vs
SE Louisiana
W
39-14
−24
−13.5
Sep 12
at
Tulane
L
24-28
+12.1
+9.5
Sep 19
vs
Ohio
W
41-36
−1.2
−7
Sep 26
at
Kentucky
L
21-45
+17.9
+20.5
Oct 3
vs
UL Monroe
W
52-35
−14.6
−12.5
Oct 8
at
Arkansas State
37%
+5.5
+1.5
Oct 20
at
Marshall
50%
+0.1
–
Oct 31
vs
Louisiana Tech
41%
+3.8
–
Nov 7
at
Louisiana
25%
+10.9
–
Nov 14
vs
Troy
47%
+1.1
–
Nov 21
at
Southern Miss
47%
+1.1
–
Nov 27
vs
App State
49%
+0.3
–
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.35
−0.19
−0.03
+0.12
+0.28
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: −0.21
Net · 2: −0.31
Net · 3: −0.24
Net · 4: −0.24
Net · 5: −0.24
Net · 6: −0.25
Net · 7: −0.26
Net · 8: −0.26
Net · 9: −0.26
Net · 10: −0.26
Net · 11: −0.26
Net · 12: −0.26
Net · 13: −0.26
Net · 15: −0.26
Offense · 1: −0.07
Offense · 2: −0.17
Offense · 3: −0.07
Offense · 4: −0.04
Offense · 5: −0.04
Offense · 6: −0.02
Offense · 7: −0.02
Offense · 8: −0.02
Offense · 9: −0.02
Offense · 10: −0.02
Offense · 11: −0.02
Offense · 12: −0.02
Offense · 13: −0.02
Offense · 15: −0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.14
Defense (lower is better) · 2: +0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.17
Defense (lower is better) · 4: +0.20
Defense (lower is better) · 5: +0.21
Defense (lower is better) · 6: +0.24
Defense (lower is better) · 7: +0.24
Defense (lower is better) · 8: +0.24
Defense (lower is better) · 9: +0.24
Defense (lower is better) · 10: +0.24
Defense (lower is better) · 11: +0.24
Defense (lower is better) · 12: +0.24
Defense (lower is better) · 13: +0.24
Defense (lower is better) · 15: +0.24
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1456
1463
1470
1476
1483
Sep 5
Sep 12
Sep 19
Sep 26
Oct 3
Elo · Sep 5: 1470
Elo · Sep 12: 1461
Elo · Sep 19: 1481
Elo · Sep 26: 1458
Elo · Oct 3: 1470
Season to date
Record
3-2
Conference
1-0
Home
3-0
Away
0-2
Against the spread
3-2
Over/under
4-1
Points for / against
35.4 / 31.6
Avg margin
+3.8