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Rice
American Athletic · 2026
1-4
Record
3.2-8.8
Projected regular season
0%
Playoff chance
−11.4
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 10, 4:00 PM
at East Carolina
18% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 5
vs
Houston Christian
W
31-3
−27.5
−22.5
Sep 12
at
3
Notre Dame
L
0-52
+42.5
+44.5
Sep 19
vs
Western Michigan
L
21-28
+9.3
+8.5
Sep 26
at
Fresno State
L
24-38
+12.5
+12.5
Oct 3
vs
UTSA
L
14-16
+13.1
+11.5
Oct 10
at
East Carolina
18%
+14.6
+10
Oct 17
vs
Tulsa
43%
+2.8
–
Oct 24
at
Florida Atlantic
28%
+9.5
–
Nov 7
at
North Texas
16%
+16.3
–
Nov 14
vs
Tulane
45%
+2
–
Nov 19
at
Temple
30%
+8.6
–
Nov 28
vs
Army
37%
+5.5
–
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.31
−0.19
−0.06
+0.06
+0.18
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: −0.24
Net · 2: −0.20
Net · 3: −0.27
Net · 4: −0.25
Net · 5: −0.25
Net · 6: −0.23
Net · 7: −0.23
Net · 8: −0.23
Net · 9: −0.23
Net · 10: −0.23
Net · 11: −0.23
Net · 12: −0.23
Net · 13: −0.23
Net · 15: −0.23
Offense · 1: −0.11
Offense · 2: −0.13
Offense · 3: −0.16
Offense · 4: −0.14
Offense · 5: −0.11
Offense · 6: −0.11
Offense · 7: −0.11
Offense · 8: −0.11
Offense · 9: −0.11
Offense · 10: −0.11
Offense · 11: −0.11
Offense · 12: −0.11
Offense · 13: −0.11
Offense · 15: −0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 2: +0.07
Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 4: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 5: +0.14
Defense (lower is better) · 6: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 7: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 8: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 9: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 10: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 11: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 12: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 13: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 15: +0.11
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1374
1385
1397
1409
1420
Sep 5
Sep 12
Sep 19
Sep 26
Oct 3
Elo · Sep 5: 1417
Elo · Sep 12: 1409
Elo · Sep 19: 1395
Elo · Sep 26: 1383
Elo · Oct 3: 1377
Season to date
Record
1-4
Conference
0-1
Home
1-2
Away
0-2
Against the spread
3-2
Over/under
2-3
Points for / against
18.0 / 27.4
Avg margin
-9.4