BEAVER
MODEL
Home
NFL
NCAAF
NBA
NCAAB
MLB
How It Works
My Slip
NCAAF
›
Teams
› Oregon State
Oregon State
Pac-12 · 2026
3-2
Record
6.8-4.2
Projected regular season
1%
Playoff chance
+3.3
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 10, 6:00 PM
vs San Diego State
77% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 5
at
22
Houston
L
20-33
+20.7
+21
Sep 12
vs
11
Texas Tech
L
24-35
+16.3
+25.5
Sep 19
vs
Montana
W
52-17
−20.2
−17.5
Sep 26
at
UTEP
W
33-7
−7.8
−11.5
Oct 3
at
Colorado State
W
56-26
−4.1
−7
Oct 10
vs
San Diego State
77%
−11.8
−14.5
Oct 17
vs
Washington State
83%
−15.3
–
Oct 31
at
Fresno State
55%
−1.8
–
Nov 7
vs
Texas State
64%
−5.7
–
Nov 14
at
23
Boise State
26%
+10.6
–
Nov 21
vs
Utah State
78%
−12.3
–
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.20
−0.11
−0.03
+0.06
+0.14
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: −0.17
Net · 2: −0.16
Net · 3: −0.10
Net · 4: −0.05
Net · 5: +0.01
Net · 6: +0.05
Net · 7: +0.05
Net · 8: +0.05
Net · 9: +0.05
Net · 10: +0.05
Net · 11: +0.05
Net · 12: +0.05
Net · 13: +0.05
Net · 15: +0.05
Offense · 1: −0.08
Offense · 2: −0.05
Offense · 3: +0.02
Offense · 4: +0.02
Offense · 5: +0.04
Offense · 6: +0.08
Offense · 7: +0.08
Offense · 8: +0.08
Offense · 9: +0.08
Offense · 10: +0.08
Offense · 11: +0.08
Offense · 12: +0.08
Offense · 13: +0.08
Offense · 15: +0.08
Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 2: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.12
Defense (lower is better) · 4: +0.07
Defense (lower is better) · 5: +0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 6: +0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 7: +0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 8: +0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 9: +0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 10: +0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 11: +0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 12: +0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 13: +0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 15: +0.03
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1357
1389
1420
1452
1484
Sep 5
Sep 12
Sep 19
Sep 26
Oct 3
Elo · Sep 5: 1375
Elo · Sep 12: 1366
Elo · Sep 19: 1407
Elo · Sep 26: 1439
Elo · Oct 3: 1475
Season to date
Record
3-2
Conference
1-0
Home
1-1
Away
2-1
Against the spread
5-0
Over/under
4-1
Points for / against
37.0 / 23.6
Avg margin
+13.4