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3
Notre Dame
FBS Independents · 2026
5-0
Record
11.2-0.8
Projected regular season
99%
Playoff chance
+28.1
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 10, 3:30 PM
vs Stanford
100% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 6
vs
Wisconsin
W
41-13
−24.4
−21
Sep 12
vs
Rice
W
52-0
−42.5
−44.5
Sep 19
vs
Michigan State
W
27-10
−33.2
−28.5
Sep 26
at
Purdue
W
49-10
−25.8
−27.5
Oct 3
at
North Carolina
W
37-26
−21.6
−21
Oct 10
vs
Stanford
100%
−41.9
−38.5
Oct 17
at
8
BYU
69%
−8.1
−10
Oct 31
vs
Navy
98%
−32.7
–
Nov 7
vs
4
Miami
65%
−6.2
−6.5
Nov 14
vs
Boston College
99%
−39.3
–
Nov 21
vs
24
SMU
91%
−21.6
−17.5
Nov 28
at
Syracuse
96%
−27.4
–
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.26
−0.08
+0.11
+0.30
+0.49
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: +0.33
Net · 2: +0.36
Net · 3: +0.44
Net · 4: +0.37
Net · 5: +0.43
Net · 6: +0.40
Net · 7: +0.40
Net · 8: +0.40
Net · 9: +0.40
Net · 10: +0.40
Net · 11: +0.40
Net · 12: +0.40
Net · 13: +0.40
Net · 15: +0.40
Offense · 1: +0.19
Offense · 2: +0.21
Offense · 3: +0.24
Offense · 4: +0.18
Offense · 5: +0.21
Offense · 6: +0.23
Offense · 7: +0.23
Offense · 8: +0.23
Offense · 9: +0.23
Offense · 10: +0.23
Offense · 11: +0.23
Offense · 12: +0.23
Offense · 13: +0.23
Offense · 15: +0.23
Defense (lower is better) · 1: −0.15
Defense (lower is better) · 2: −0.15
Defense (lower is better) · 3: −0.19
Defense (lower is better) · 4: −0.19
Defense (lower is better) · 5: −0.21
Defense (lower is better) · 6: −0.17
Defense (lower is better) · 7: −0.17
Defense (lower is better) · 8: −0.17
Defense (lower is better) · 9: −0.17
Defense (lower is better) · 10: −0.17
Defense (lower is better) · 11: −0.17
Defense (lower is better) · 12: −0.17
Defense (lower is better) · 13: −0.17
Defense (lower is better) · 15: −0.17
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1715
1725
1736
1746
1756
Sep 6
Sep 12
Sep 19
Sep 26
Oct 3
Elo · Sep 6: 1718
Elo · Sep 12: 1726
Elo · Sep 19: 1735
Elo · Sep 26: 1744
Elo · Oct 3: 1754
Season to date
Record
5-0
Conference
0-0
Home
2-0
Away
2-0
Against the spread
3-2
Over/under
3-2
Points for / against
41.2 / 11.8
Avg margin
+29.4