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Northern Illinois
Mountain West · 2026
0-4
Record
3.4-8.6
Projected regular season
0%
Playoff chance
−15.3
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 10, 7:30 PM
vs Air Force
42% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 5
at
20
Iowa
L
0-40
+30.8
+31.5
Sep 12
vs
Illinois State
L
24-28
−4
+2.5
Sep 19
at
Arizona
L
17-42
+28.4
+34.5
Sep 26
at
Georgia State
L
14-35
+11.3
+8.5
Oct 10
vs
Air Force
42%
+3.2
+7.5
Oct 17
at
Wyoming
46%
+1.4
–
Oct 24
vs
Hawai'i
63%
−5.2
–
Oct 31
at
UNLV
16%
+16
–
Nov 7
at
San José State
36%
+5.5
–
Nov 14
vs
Nevada
51%
−0.4
–
Nov 21
at
North Dakota State
18%
+14.7
–
Nov 28
vs
UTEP
68%
−7.5
–
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.43
−0.27
−0.10
+0.07
+0.23
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: −0.25
Net · 2: −0.30
Net · 3: −0.38
Net · 4: −0.36
Net · 5: −0.39
Net · 6: −0.39
Net · 7: −0.39
Net · 8: −0.39
Net · 9: −0.39
Net · 10: −0.39
Net · 11: −0.39
Net · 12: −0.39
Net · 13: −0.39
Net · 15: −0.39
Offense · 1: −0.11
Offense · 2: −0.16
Offense · 3: −0.23
Offense · 4: −0.18
Offense · 5: −0.21
Offense · 6: −0.20
Offense · 7: −0.20
Offense · 8: −0.20
Offense · 9: −0.20
Offense · 10: −0.20
Offense · 11: −0.20
Offense · 12: −0.20
Offense · 13: −0.20
Offense · 15: −0.20
Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.14
Defense (lower is better) · 2: +0.14
Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.15
Defense (lower is better) · 4: +0.18
Defense (lower is better) · 5: +0.18
Defense (lower is better) · 6: +0.19
Defense (lower is better) · 7: +0.19
Defense (lower is better) · 8: +0.19
Defense (lower is better) · 9: +0.19
Defense (lower is better) · 10: +0.19
Defense (lower is better) · 11: +0.19
Defense (lower is better) · 12: +0.19
Defense (lower is better) · 13: +0.19
Defense (lower is better) · 15: +0.19
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1340
1356
1372
1387
1403
Sep 5
Sep 12
Sep 19
Sep 26
Elo · Sep 5: 1399
Elo · Sep 12: 1381
Elo · Sep 19: 1369
Elo · Sep 26: 1344
Season to date
Record
0-4
Conference
0-0
Home
0-1
Away
0-3
Against the spread
1-3
Over/under
2-2
Points for / against
13.8 / 36.2
Avg margin
-22.5