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› New Mexico State
New Mexico State
Conference USA · 2026
2-3
Record
4.8-7.2
Projected regular season
0%
Playoff chance
−14.5
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Wed, Oct 7, 7:30 PM
at Florida International
34% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Aug 29
at
Florida State
L
17-34
+31.2
+30.5
Sep 5
vs
Mercyhurst
W
51-14
−27.6
−29.5
Sep 12
at
Hawai'i
L
19-29
+13.4
+7.5
Sep 26
vs
New Mexico
L
18-42
+11.7
+11.5
Oct 1
vs
Western Kentucky
W
34-13
+3.9
−1.5
Oct 7
at
Florida International
34%
+6.2
+6.5
Oct 21
at
Sam Houston
32%
+7.5
–
Oct 28
vs
Jacksonville State
38%
+4.9
–
Nov 7
vs
Liberty
23%
+11.9
–
Nov 14
at
Missouri State
48%
+0.7
–
Nov 21
vs
Delaware
49%
+0.3
–
Nov 28
at
Middle Tennessee
59%
−3.5
–
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.40
−0.24
−0.09
+0.07
+0.23
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: −0.31
Net · 2: −0.28
Net · 3: −0.29
Net · 4: −0.28
Net · 5: −0.36
Net · 6: −0.32
Net · 7: −0.32
Net · 8: −0.32
Net · 9: −0.32
Net · 10: −0.32
Net · 11: −0.32
Net · 12: −0.32
Net · 13: −0.32
Net · 15: −0.32
Offense · 1: −0.17
Offense · 2: −0.15
Offense · 3: −0.14
Offense · 4: −0.15
Offense · 5: −0.17
Offense · 6: −0.19
Offense · 7: −0.19
Offense · 8: −0.19
Offense · 9: −0.19
Offense · 10: −0.19
Offense · 11: −0.19
Offense · 12: −0.19
Offense · 13: −0.19
Offense · 15: −0.19
Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.15
Defense (lower is better) · 2: +0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.15
Defense (lower is better) · 4: +0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 5: +0.19
Defense (lower is better) · 6: +0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 7: +0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 8: +0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 9: +0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 10: +0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 11: +0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 12: +0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 13: +0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 15: +0.13
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1341
1352
1363
1374
1385
Aug 29
Sep 5
Sep 12
Sep 26
Oct 1
Elo · Aug 29: 1363
Elo · Sep 5: 1377
Elo · Sep 12: 1363
Elo · Sep 26: 1344
Elo · Oct 1: 1382
Season to date
Record
2-3
Conference
1-0
Home
2-1
Away
0-2
Against the spread
3-2
Over/under
2-3
Points for / against
27.8 / 26.4
Avg margin
+1.4