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NC State
ACC · 2026
3-2
Record
7.3-4.7
Projected regular season
0%
Playoff chance
+5.6
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 10, 12:00 PM
vs Wake Forest
45% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Aug 29
at
Virginia
L
8-34
−0.3
+4
Sep 11
vs
Richmond
W
73-0
−39.6
−33.5
Sep 19
at
Vanderbilt
L
31-35
−3.7
+3
Sep 26
vs
App State
W
41-31
−15.2
−12.5
Oct 3
vs
Louisville
W
31-28
+0.1
+5.5
Oct 10
vs
Wake Forest
45%
+1.9
+3.5
Oct 23
at
Stanford
80%
−13.5
–
Oct 31
vs
California
84%
−16.3
–
Nov 7
vs
Duke
53%
−1.4
–
Nov 14
vs
Syracuse
75%
−10.8
–
Nov 21
at
Florida State
42%
+3.2
–
Nov 28
at
North Carolina
54%
−1.6
−1.5
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.06
−0.02
+0.03
+0.08
+0.12
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: +0.06
Net · 2: −0.05
Net · 3: +0.08
Net · 4: −0.01
Net · 5: −0.02
Net · 6: −0.02
Net · 7: −0.02
Net · 8: −0.02
Net · 9: −0.02
Net · 10: −0.02
Net · 11: −0.02
Net · 12: −0.02
Net · 13: −0.02
Net · 15: −0.02
Offense · 1: +0.08
Offense · 2: +0.01
Offense · 3: +0.11
Offense · 4: +0.07
Offense · 5: +0.07
Offense · 6: +0.08
Offense · 7: +0.08
Offense · 8: +0.08
Offense · 9: +0.08
Offense · 10: +0.08
Offense · 11: +0.08
Offense · 12: +0.08
Offense · 13: +0.08
Offense · 15: +0.08
Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 2: +0.06
Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 4: +0.08
Defense (lower is better) · 5: +0.09
Defense (lower is better) · 6: +0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 7: +0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 8: +0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 9: +0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 10: +0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 11: +0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 12: +0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 13: +0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 15: +0.10
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1523
1534
1545
1556
1567
Aug 29
Sep 11
Sep 19
Sep 26
Oct 3
Elo · Aug 29: 1526
Elo · Sep 11: 1542
Elo · Sep 19: 1532
Elo · Sep 26: 1549
Elo · Oct 3: 1564
Season to date
Record
3-2
Conference
1-1
Home
3-0
Away
0-2
Against the spread
2-3
Over/under
4-1
Points for / against
36.8 / 25.6
Avg margin
+11.2