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Navy
American Athletic · 2026
1-3
Record
4.1-7.9
Projected regular season
0%
Playoff chance
−8.6
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 10, 3:30 PM
vs Tulsa
51% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 5
vs
Towson
W
42-15
−27.8
−31.5
Sep 12
at
Florida Atlantic
L
30-38
−2.3
−4.5
Sep 25
at
UAB
L
20-24
+1.4
−6.5
Oct 3
at
Air Force
L
9-14
+1.3
+2.5
Oct 10
vs
Tulsa
51%
−0.3
−2.5
Oct 17
at
UTSA
13%
+18
–
Oct 24
vs
North Texas
36%
+5.9
–
Oct 31
vs
3
Notre Dame
2%
+32.7
–
Nov 7
vs
Temple
50%
+0.2
–
Nov 21
vs
Memphis
37%
+5.3
–
Nov 28
at
Charlotte
85%
−16.2
–
Dec 12
vs
Army
36%
+5.6
−2.5
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.29
−0.16
−0.03
+0.11
+0.24
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: −0.23
Net · 2: −0.22
Net · 3: −0.22
Net · 4: −0.22
Net · 5: −0.26
Net · 6: −0.20
Net · 7: −0.20
Net · 8: −0.20
Net · 9: −0.20
Net · 10: −0.20
Net · 11: −0.20
Net · 12: −0.20
Net · 13: −0.20
Net · 15: −0.20
Offense · 1: −0.06
Offense · 2: −0.01
Offense · 3: −0.02
Offense · 4: −0.03
Offense · 5: −0.06
Offense · 6: −0.09
Offense · 7: −0.09
Offense · 8: −0.09
Offense · 9: −0.09
Offense · 10: −0.09
Offense · 11: −0.09
Offense · 12: −0.09
Offense · 13: −0.09
Offense · 15: −0.09
Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.17
Defense (lower is better) · 2: +0.20
Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.19
Defense (lower is better) · 4: +0.19
Defense (lower is better) · 5: +0.20
Defense (lower is better) · 6: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 7: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 8: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 9: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 10: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 11: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 12: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 13: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 15: +0.11
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1518
1540
1563
1585
1607
Sep 5
Sep 12
Sep 25
Oct 3
Elo · Sep 5: 1601
Elo · Sep 12: 1567
Elo · Sep 25: 1544
Elo · Oct 3: 1524
Season to date
Record
1-3
Conference
0-2
Home
1-0
Away
0-3
Against the spread
0-4
Over/under
2-2
Points for / against
25.2 / 22.8
Avg margin
+2.5