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Missouri State
Conference USA · 2026
1-3
Record
3.9-8.1
Projected regular season
0%
Playoff chance
−15.1
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Thu, Oct 8, 7:00 PM
at Western Kentucky
40% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 5
at
Texas A&M
L
0-50
+40.7
+38.5
Sep 12
vs
Lindenwood
W
48-14
−26.2
−16.5
Sep 19
vs
Marshall
L
24-30
+2.7
+4
Sep 26
at
24
SMU
L
24-34
+31.4
+30.5
Oct 8
at
Western Kentucky
40%
+4
+2.5
Oct 14
vs
Kennesaw State
41%
+3.5
–
Oct 20
at
Delaware
35%
+6.1
–
Oct 27
vs
Sam Houston
41%
+3.7
–
Nov 7
at
Florida International
32%
+7.1
–
Nov 14
vs
New Mexico State
52%
−0.7
–
Nov 21
at
Jacksonville State
28%
+9.3
–
Nov 28
vs
Liberty
19%
+14.3
–
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.31
−0.18
−0.04
+0.10
+0.23
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: −0.24
Net · 2: −0.27
Net · 3: −0.23
Net · 4: −0.28
Net · 5: −0.26
Net · 6: −0.26
Net · 7: −0.26
Net · 8: −0.26
Net · 9: −0.26
Net · 10: −0.26
Net · 11: −0.26
Net · 12: −0.26
Net · 13: −0.26
Net · 15: −0.26
Offense · 1: −0.09
Offense · 2: −0.16
Offense · 3: −0.11
Offense · 4: −0.08
Offense · 5: −0.11
Offense · 6: −0.12
Offense · 7: −0.12
Offense · 8: −0.12
Offense · 9: −0.12
Offense · 10: −0.12
Offense · 11: −0.12
Offense · 12: −0.12
Offense · 13: −0.12
Offense · 15: −0.12
Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.15
Defense (lower is better) · 2: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 4: +0.20
Defense (lower is better) · 5: +0.15
Defense (lower is better) · 6: +0.15
Defense (lower is better) · 7: +0.15
Defense (lower is better) · 8: +0.15
Defense (lower is better) · 9: +0.15
Defense (lower is better) · 10: +0.15
Defense (lower is better) · 11: +0.15
Defense (lower is better) · 12: +0.15
Defense (lower is better) · 13: +0.15
Defense (lower is better) · 15: +0.15
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1390
1397
1404
1411
1419
Sep 5
Sep 12
Sep 19
Sep 26
Elo · Sep 5: 1401
Elo · Sep 12: 1417
Elo · Sep 19: 1399
Elo · Sep 26: 1392
Season to date
Record
1-3
Conference
0-0
Home
1-1
Away
0-2
Against the spread
2-2
Over/under
2-2
Points for / against
24.0 / 32.0
Avg margin
-8.0