NCAAF › Teams › Mississippi State

17Mississippi State

SEC · 2026
4-1
Record
7.7-4.3
Projected regular season
3%
Playoff chance
+11.1
Rating (pts vs. avg)
NextSat, Oct 17, 12:00 PMat LSU21% to winMatchup →

Schedule

results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
DateOpponentResult / win chanceBeaver lineVegas
Sep 5
vsUL Monroe
W62-13−22.2−28.5
Sep 12
atMinnesota
W38-13+4.9−1.5
Sep 19
atSouth Carolina
W41-34+1.9+3
Sep 26
vs14Missouri
W31-24−10.6−3.5
Oct 3
vs6Alabama
L23-56+10.5+5.5
Oct 17
at10LSU
21%+13–
Oct 24
vsOklahoma
51%−0.3–
Oct 31
at1Texas
13%+18.1–
Nov 7
vsVanderbilt
73%−9.8–
Nov 14
vsAuburn
67%−7.2–
Nov 21
vsTennessee Tech
99%−39.7–
Nov 27
at9Ole Miss
42%+3.2+14.5

Rating by week

EPA per play vs. average
−0.09+0.01+0.10+0.20+0.30Entering week1234567891011121315Net · 1: +0.02Net · 2: +0.13Net · 3: +0.27Net · 4: +0.24Net · 5: +0.22Net · 6: +0.17Net · 7: +0.17Net · 8: +0.17Net · 9: +0.17Net · 10: +0.17Net · 11: +0.17Net · 12: +0.17Net · 13: +0.17Net · 15: +0.17Offense · 1: +0.03Offense · 2: +0.11Offense · 3: +0.21Offense · 4: +0.21Offense · 5: +0.19Offense · 6: +0.16Offense · 7: +0.16Offense · 8: +0.16Offense · 9: +0.16Offense · 10: +0.16Offense · 11: +0.16Offense · 12: +0.16Offense · 13: +0.16Offense · 15: +0.16Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.02Defense (lower is better) · 2: −0.02Defense (lower is better) · 3: −0.06Defense (lower is better) · 4: −0.04Defense (lower is better) · 5: −0.04Defense (lower is better) · 6: −0.01Defense (lower is better) · 7: −0.01Defense (lower is better) · 8: −0.01Defense (lower is better) · 9: −0.01Defense (lower is better) · 10: −0.01Defense (lower is better) · 11: −0.01Defense (lower is better) · 12: −0.01Defense (lower is better) · 13: −0.01Defense (lower is better) · 15: −0.01
● Net● Offense● Defense (lower is better)

Elo rating

after each game
14631491151815461574Sep 5Sep 12Sep 19Sep 26Oct 3Elo · Sep 5: 1471Elo · Sep 12: 1518Elo · Sep 19: 1544Elo · Sep 26: 1566Elo · Oct 3: 1541

Season to date

Record
4-1
Conference
2-1
Home
2-1
Away
2-0
Against the spread
4-1
Over/under
3-2
Points for / against
39.0 / 28.0
Avg margin
+11.0