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Michigan
Big Ten · 2026
3-2
Record
6.5-5.5
Projected regular season
0%
Playoff chance
+10.1
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 17, 12:00 AM
vs Penn State
75% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 5
vs
Western Michigan
W
13-12
−15.4
−27.5
Sep 12
vs
Oklahoma
W
17-10
+3.4
+5.5
Sep 19
vs
UTEP
W
52-17
−29.5
−34.5
Sep 26
vs
20
Iowa
L
19-20
−0.2
−4.5
Oct 3
at
Minnesota
L
14-20
−4.1
−6.5
Oct 17
vs
Penn State
75%
−10.6
−6.5
Oct 24
vs
7
Indiana
33%
+7.1
+6
Oct 31
at
Rutgers
77%
−12.1
–
Nov 7
vs
Michigan State
82%
−14.6
−16.5
Nov 14
at
13
Oregon
13%
+18
+13.5
Nov 21
vs
21
UCLA
57%
−2.7
–
Nov 28
at
5
Ohio State
10%
+20.8
+13.5
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.10
−0.04
+0.02
+0.09
+0.15
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: +0.08
Net · 2: +0.06
Net · 3: +0.13
Net · 4: +0.11
Net · 5: +0.11
Net · 6: +0.08
Net · 7: +0.08
Net · 8: +0.08
Net · 9: +0.08
Net · 10: +0.08
Net · 11: +0.08
Net · 12: +0.08
Net · 13: +0.08
Net · 15: +0.08
Offense · 1: +0.05
Offense · 2: +0.03
Offense · 3: +0.05
Offense · 4: +0.04
Offense · 5: +0.05
Offense · 6: +0.01
Offense · 7: +0.01
Offense · 8: +0.01
Offense · 9: +0.01
Offense · 10: +0.01
Offense · 11: +0.01
Offense · 12: +0.01
Offense · 13: +0.01
Offense · 15: +0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 1: −0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 2: −0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 3: −0.08
Defense (lower is better) · 4: −0.07
Defense (lower is better) · 5: −0.06
Defense (lower is better) · 6: −0.07
Defense (lower is better) · 7: −0.07
Defense (lower is better) · 8: −0.07
Defense (lower is better) · 9: −0.07
Defense (lower is better) · 10: −0.07
Defense (lower is better) · 11: −0.07
Defense (lower is better) · 12: −0.07
Defense (lower is better) · 13: −0.07
Defense (lower is better) · 15: −0.07
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1598
1606
1615
1623
1631
Sep 5
Sep 12
Sep 19
Sep 26
Oct 3
Elo · Sep 5: 1601
Elo · Sep 12: 1620
Elo · Sep 19: 1629
Elo · Sep 26: 1621
Elo · Oct 3: 1600
Season to date
Record
3-2
Conference
0-2
Home
3-1
Away
0-1
Against the spread
2-3
Over/under
1-4
Points for / against
23.0 / 15.8
Avg margin
+7.2