NCAAF › Teams › Michigan State

Michigan State

Big Ten · 2026
2-3
Record
4.2-7.8
Projected regular season
0%
Playoff chance
−0.9
Rating (pts vs. avg)
NextSat, Oct 10, 3:30 PMvs Illinois46% to winMatchup →

Schedule

results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
DateOpponentResult / win chanceBeaver lineVegas
Sep 4
vsToledo
W30-20−2.4−10
Sep 12
vsEastern Michigan
W35-7−13.2−17.5
Sep 19
at3Notre Dame
L10-27+33.2+28.5
Sep 26
vsNebraska
L13-31+5.8+6
Oct 3
atWisconsin
L3-31+12.6+8.5
Oct 10
vsIllinois
46%+1.7+2.5
Oct 17
vsNorthwestern
27%+9.6–
Oct 24
at21UCLA
10%+20.2–
Nov 7
atMichigan
18%+14.6+16.5
Nov 14
vsWashington
43%+2.7–
Nov 20
vs13Oregon
13%+18–
Nov 28
atRutgers
56%−2.6–

Rating by week

EPA per play vs. average
−0.18−0.10−0.02+0.06+0.13Entering week1234567891011121315Net · 1: −0.09Net · 2: −0.14Net · 3: −0.15Net · 4: −0.09Net · 5: −0.10Net · 6: −0.16Net · 7: −0.16Net · 8: −0.16Net · 9: −0.16Net · 10: −0.16Net · 11: −0.16Net · 12: −0.16Net · 13: −0.16Net · 15: −0.16Offense · 1: −0.03Offense · 2: −0.07Offense · 3: −0.04Offense · 4: −0.05Offense · 5: −0.07Offense · 6: −0.11Offense · 7: −0.11Offense · 8: −0.11Offense · 9: −0.11Offense · 10: −0.11Offense · 11: −0.11Offense · 12: −0.11Offense · 13: −0.11Offense · 15: −0.11Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.06Defense (lower is better) · 2: +0.07Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.11Defense (lower is better) · 4: +0.04Defense (lower is better) · 5: +0.03Defense (lower is better) · 6: +0.04Defense (lower is better) · 7: +0.04Defense (lower is better) · 8: +0.04Defense (lower is better) · 9: +0.04Defense (lower is better) · 10: +0.04Defense (lower is better) · 11: +0.04Defense (lower is better) · 12: +0.04Defense (lower is better) · 13: +0.04Defense (lower is better) · 15: +0.04
● Net● Offense● Defense (lower is better)

Elo rating

after each game
14331449146514821498Sep 4Sep 12Sep 19Sep 26Oct 3Elo · Sep 4: 1471Elo · Sep 12: 1494Elo · Sep 19: 1485Elo · Sep 26: 1459Elo · Oct 3: 1437

Season to date

Record
2-3
Conference
0-2
Home
2-1
Away
0-2
Against the spread
2-2-1
Over/under
1-4
Points for / against
18.2 / 23.2
Avg margin
-5.0