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4
Miami
ACC · 2026
5-0
Record
10.8-1.2
Projected regular season
95%
Playoff chance
+25.2
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 17, 7:00 PM
vs Florida State
88% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 4
at
Stanford
W
45-6
−18.7
−24.5
Sep 10
vs
Florida A&M
W
77-7
−62.6
−59.5
Sep 18
at
Wake Forest
W
33-20
−20
−20.5
Sep 26
vs
Central Michigan
W
52-3
−39.7
−41.5
Oct 3
at
Clemson
W
41-13
−13.9
−14
Oct 17
vs
Florida State
88%
−18.9
−16.5
Oct 24
vs
25
Pittsburgh
87%
−18
–
Oct 31
at
North Carolina
90%
−20.8
–
Nov 7
at
3
Notre Dame
35%
+6.2
+6.5
Nov 14
vs
Duke
89%
−19.9
−21
Nov 21
vs
Virginia Tech
90%
−21.5
−16.5
Nov 28
vs
Boston College
99%
−36.4
–
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.18
−0.02
+0.14
+0.29
+0.45
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: +0.28
Net · 2: +0.32
Net · 3: +0.37
Net · 4: +0.36
Net · 5: +0.38
Net · 6: +0.41
Net · 7: +0.41
Net · 8: +0.41
Net · 9: +0.41
Net · 10: +0.41
Net · 11: +0.41
Net · 12: +0.41
Net · 13: +0.41
Net · 15: +0.41
Offense · 1: +0.15
Offense · 2: +0.22
Offense · 3: +0.30
Offense · 4: +0.26
Offense · 5: +0.29
Offense · 6: +0.30
Offense · 7: +0.30
Offense · 8: +0.30
Offense · 9: +0.30
Offense · 10: +0.30
Offense · 11: +0.30
Offense · 12: +0.30
Offense · 13: +0.30
Offense · 15: +0.30
Defense (lower is better) · 1: −0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 2: −0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 3: −0.07
Defense (lower is better) · 4: −0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 5: −0.09
Defense (lower is better) · 6: −0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 7: −0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 8: −0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 9: −0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 10: −0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 11: −0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 12: −0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 13: −0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 15: −0.11
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1694
1710
1726
1742
1758
Sep 4
Sep 10
Sep 18
Sep 26
Oct 3
Elo · Sep 4: 1699
Elo · Sep 10: 1702
Elo · Sep 18: 1719
Elo · Sep 26: 1729
Elo · Oct 3: 1753
Season to date
Record
5-0
Conference
3-0
Home
2-0
Away
3-0
Against the spread
4-1
Over/under
4-1
Points for / against
49.6 / 9.8
Avg margin
+39.8