BEAVER
MODEL
Home
NFL
NCAAF
NBA
NCAAB
MLB
How It Works
My Slip
NCAAF
›
Teams
› Massachusetts
Massachusetts
Mid-American · 2026
4-1
Record
6.6-5.4
Projected regular season
0%
Playoff chance
−19.1
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 10, 2:00 PM
vs Miami (OH)
32% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 3
at
Rutgers
W
37-21
+36
+29.5
Sep 12
vs
Sacred Heart
W
37-10
−22.7
−23.5
Sep 19
vs
Stonehill
W
36-14
−31
−30.5
Sep 26
at
Sacramento State
W
35-6
−4.3
−6
Oct 3
vs
Eastern Michigan
L
14-38
−2.4
−5.5
Oct 10
vs
Miami (OH)
32%
+7.7
+2.5
Oct 17
at
Buffalo
47%
+1.1
–
Oct 23
at
UConn
18%
+14.8
–
Nov 4
vs
Ball State
56%
−2.4
–
Nov 11
at
Toledo
7%
+23.6
–
Nov 18
vs
Akron
42%
+3.2
–
Nov 28
at
Bowling Green
56%
−2.3
–
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.49
−0.29
−0.09
+0.10
+0.30
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: −0.43
Net · 2: −0.20
Net · 3: −0.12
Net · 4: −0.14
Net · 5: −0.11
Net · 6: −0.20
Net · 7: −0.20
Net · 8: −0.20
Net · 9: −0.20
Net · 10: −0.20
Net · 11: −0.20
Net · 12: −0.20
Net · 13: −0.20
Net · 15: −0.20
Offense · 1: −0.19
Offense · 2: −0.08
Offense · 3: −0.03
Offense · 4: −0.09
Offense · 5: −0.06
Offense · 6: −0.09
Offense · 7: −0.09
Offense · 8: −0.09
Offense · 9: −0.09
Offense · 10: −0.09
Offense · 11: −0.09
Offense · 12: −0.09
Offense · 13: −0.09
Offense · 15: −0.09
Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.25
Defense (lower is better) · 2: +0.12
Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 4: +0.05
Defense (lower is better) · 5: +0.05
Defense (lower is better) · 6: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 7: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 8: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 9: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 10: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 11: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 12: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 13: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 15: +0.11
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1323
1340
1358
1375
1392
Sep 3
Sep 12
Sep 19
Sep 26
Oct 3
Elo · Sep 3: 1327
Elo · Sep 12: 1347
Elo · Sep 19: 1358
Elo · Sep 26: 1388
Elo · Oct 3: 1350
Season to date
Record
4-1
Conference
1-1
Home
2-1
Away
2-0
Against the spread
3-2
Over/under
2-3
Points for / against
31.8 / 17.8
Avg margin
+14.0