NCAAF › Teams › Louisville

Louisville

ACC · 2026
2-3
Record
6.6-5.4
Projected regular season
0%
Playoff chance
+9.8
Rating (pts vs. avg)
NextFri, Oct 9, 7:00 PMvs Florida State62% to winMatchup →

Schedule

results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
DateOpponentResult / win chanceBeaver lineVegas
Sep 6
vs9Ole Miss
L38-41+12.9+6.5
Sep 11
vsVillanova
W59-13−42.9−39.5
Sep 19
vs24SMU
W41-31+2.2−3
Sep 26
vsWake Forest
L27-30−13.5−11.5
Oct 3
atNC State
L28-31−0.1−5.5
Oct 9
vsFlorida State
62%−5.2−3.5
Oct 17
atSyracuse
71%−9.2–
Oct 31
vsStanford
93%−24.7–
Nov 7
atGeorgia Tech
67%−7.5–
Nov 14
atNorth Carolina
61%−4.6–
Nov 21
vs25Pittsburgh
57%−2.7–
Nov 28
atKentucky
45%+1.9–

Rating by week

EPA per play vs. average
−0.06+0.01+0.07+0.14+0.21Entering week1234567891011121315Net · 1: +0.08Net · 2: +0.13Net · 3: +0.08Net · 4: +0.19Net · 5: +0.13Net · 6: +0.10Net · 7: +0.10Net · 8: +0.10Net · 9: +0.10Net · 10: +0.10Net · 11: +0.10Net · 12: +0.10Net · 13: +0.10Net · 15: +0.10Offense · 1: +0.04Offense · 2: +0.10Offense · 3: +0.13Offense · 4: +0.16Offense · 5: +0.13Offense · 6: +0.12Offense · 7: +0.12Offense · 8: +0.12Offense · 9: +0.12Offense · 10: +0.12Offense · 11: +0.12Offense · 12: +0.12Offense · 13: +0.12Offense · 15: +0.12Defense (lower is better) · 1: −0.04Defense (lower is better) · 2: −0.03Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.05Defense (lower is better) · 4: −0.03Defense (lower is better) · 5: +0.00Defense (lower is better) · 6: +0.02Defense (lower is better) · 7: +0.02Defense (lower is better) · 8: +0.02Defense (lower is better) · 9: +0.02Defense (lower is better) · 10: +0.02Defense (lower is better) · 11: +0.02Defense (lower is better) · 12: +0.02Defense (lower is better) · 13: +0.02Defense (lower is better) · 15: +0.02
● Net● Offense● Defense (lower is better)

Elo rating

after each game
15841595160716181629Sep 6Sep 11Sep 19Sep 26Oct 3Elo · Sep 6: 1587Elo · Sep 11: 1602Elo · Sep 19: 1626Elo · Sep 26: 1606Elo · Oct 3: 1591

Season to date

Record
2-3
Conference
1-2
Home
2-1
Away
0-1
Against the spread
3-2
Over/under
4-1
Points for / against
38.6 / 29.2
Avg margin
+9.4