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Iowa State
Big 12 · 2026
3-2
Record
5.4-6.6
Projected regular season
0%
Playoff chance
+0.7
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Fri, Oct 9, 10:15 PM
at BYU
15% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 5
vs
Southeast Missouri State
W
38-10
−43.5
−29.5
Sep 12
at
20
Iowa
L
13-16
+22.6
+14
Sep 19
vs
Bowling Green
W
55-7
−22.6
−22.5
Sep 26
vs
12
Utah
L
17-31
+9.5
+7.5
Oct 3
vs
West Virginia
W
45-42
−5.5
−3
Oct 9
at
8
BYU
15%
+16.9
+10.5
Oct 24
at
Arizona
20%
+13.5
–
Oct 31
vs
18
Oklahoma State
59%
−3.5
–
Nov 7
at
Baylor
20%
+13.7
–
Nov 14
vs
Cincinnati
59%
−3.7
–
Nov 20
at
UCF
30%
+8.2
–
Nov 28
vs
Kansas State
39%
+4.5
–
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.05
−0.02
+0.01
+0.04
+0.07
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: −0.02
Net · 2: −0.04
Net · 3: +0.04
Net · 4: +0.06
Net · 5: −0.01
Net · 6: −0.04
Net · 7: −0.04
Net · 8: −0.04
Net · 9: −0.04
Net · 10: −0.04
Net · 11: −0.04
Net · 12: −0.04
Net · 13: −0.04
Net · 15: −0.04
Offense · 1: −0.01
Offense · 2: −0.03
Offense · 3: +0.01
Offense · 4: +0.03
Offense · 5: −0.01
Offense · 6: +0.01
Offense · 7: +0.01
Offense · 8: +0.01
Offense · 9: +0.01
Offense · 10: +0.01
Offense · 11: +0.01
Offense · 12: +0.01
Offense · 13: +0.01
Offense · 15: +0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 2: +0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 3: −0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 4: −0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 5: −0.00
Defense (lower is better) · 6: +0.05
Defense (lower is better) · 7: +0.05
Defense (lower is better) · 8: +0.05
Defense (lower is better) · 9: +0.05
Defense (lower is better) · 10: +0.05
Defense (lower is better) · 11: +0.05
Defense (lower is better) · 12: +0.05
Defense (lower is better) · 13: +0.05
Defense (lower is better) · 15: +0.05
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1554
1561
1568
1574
1581
Sep 5
Sep 12
Sep 19
Sep 26
Oct 3
Elo · Sep 5: 1574
Elo · Sep 12: 1565
Elo · Sep 19: 1579
Elo · Sep 26: 1556
Elo · Oct 3: 1565
Season to date
Record
3-2
Conference
1-1
Home
3-1
Away
0-1
Against the spread
2-2-1
Over/under
3-2
Points for / against
33.6 / 21.2
Avg margin
+12.4