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Illinois
Big Ten · 2026
2-3
Record
4.4-7.6
Projected regular season
0%
Playoff chance
+3.2
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 10, 3:30 PM
at Michigan State
54% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 3
vs
UAB
W
42-23
−20.6
−25.5
Sep 12
vs
Duke
L
27-31
−6.5
−6
Sep 19
vs
Southern Illinois
W
48-10
−38.6
−34.5
Sep 26
at
5
Ohio State
L
19-42
+22.2
+25.5
Oct 3
vs
Purdue
L
17-24
−11.6
−9.5
Oct 10
at
Michigan State
54%
−1.7
−2.5
Oct 24
vs
13
Oregon
22%
+12.4
–
Oct 31
at
Maryland
60%
−3.9
–
Nov 6
vs
Nebraska
37%
+5.4
–
Nov 13
at
21
UCLA
17%
+15.8
–
Nov 21
vs
20
Iowa
28%
+9.2
–
Nov 28
at
Northwestern
22%
+12.4
−3.5
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.12
−0.04
+0.03
+0.11
+0.19
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: +0.03
Net · 2: +0.02
Net · 3: −0.10
Net · 4: −0.09
Net · 5: −0.03
Net · 6: −0.07
Net · 7: −0.07
Net · 8: −0.07
Net · 9: −0.07
Net · 10: −0.07
Net · 11: −0.07
Net · 12: −0.07
Net · 13: −0.07
Net · 15: −0.07
Offense · 1: +0.06
Offense · 2: +0.08
Offense · 3: +0.07
Offense · 4: +0.06
Offense · 5: +0.13
Offense · 6: +0.08
Offense · 7: +0.08
Offense · 8: +0.08
Offense · 9: +0.08
Offense · 10: +0.08
Offense · 11: +0.08
Offense · 12: +0.08
Offense · 13: +0.08
Offense · 15: +0.08
Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 2: +0.06
Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.16
Defense (lower is better) · 4: +0.15
Defense (lower is better) · 5: +0.15
Defense (lower is better) · 6: +0.16
Defense (lower is better) · 7: +0.16
Defense (lower is better) · 8: +0.16
Defense (lower is better) · 9: +0.16
Defense (lower is better) · 10: +0.16
Defense (lower is better) · 11: +0.16
Defense (lower is better) · 12: +0.16
Defense (lower is better) · 13: +0.16
Defense (lower is better) · 15: +0.16
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1516
1532
1549
1566
1583
Sep 3
Sep 12
Sep 19
Sep 26
Oct 3
Elo · Sep 3: 1578
Elo · Sep 12: 1561
Elo · Sep 19: 1571
Elo · Sep 26: 1557
Elo · Oct 3: 1520
Season to date
Record
2-3
Conference
0-2
Home
2-2
Away
0-1
Against the spread
2-3
Over/under
4-1
Points for / against
30.6 / 26.0
Avg margin
+4.6