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22
Houston
Big 12 · 2026
4-1
Record
8.9-3.1
Projected regular season
20%
Playoff chance
+14.1
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 10, 3:30 PM
at Kansas State
58% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 5
vs
Oregon State
W
33-20
−20.7
−21
Sep 12
vs
Southern
W
77-6
−49.9
−51.5
Sep 18
at
11
Texas Tech
L
26-28
+7.3
+7.5
Sep 26
at
Georgia Southern
W
42-28
−12.6
−17.5
Oct 3
vs
UCF
W
27-17
−9.9
−10.5
Oct 10
at
Kansas State
58%
−3.4
+2.5
Oct 17
vs
18
Oklahoma State
85%
−17.1
–
Oct 24
at
12
Utah
29%
+9
+6.5
Nov 7
vs
Cincinnati
85%
−17.2
–
Nov 13
at
Colorado
83%
−15.5
–
Nov 21
at
West Virginia
79%
−13.7
–
Nov 28
vs
Baylor
64%
−6
–
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.04
+0.02
+0.07
+0.13
+0.18
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: −0.01
Net · 2: −0.02
Net · 3: +0.07
Net · 4: +0.13
Net · 5: +0.15
Net · 6: +0.12
Net · 7: +0.12
Net · 8: +0.12
Net · 9: +0.12
Net · 10: +0.12
Net · 11: +0.12
Net · 12: +0.12
Net · 13: +0.12
Net · 15: +0.12
Offense · 1: −0.00
Offense · 2: +0.01
Offense · 3: +0.05
Offense · 4: +0.12
Offense · 5: +0.17
Offense · 6: +0.15
Offense · 7: +0.14
Offense · 8: +0.14
Offense · 9: +0.14
Offense · 10: +0.14
Offense · 11: +0.14
Offense · 12: +0.14
Offense · 13: +0.14
Offense · 15: +0.14
Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 2: +0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 3: −0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 4: −0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 5: +0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 6: +0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 7: +0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 8: +0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 9: +0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 10: +0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 11: +0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 12: +0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 13: +0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 15: +0.02
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1549
1561
1572
1584
1595
Sep 5
Sep 12
Sep 18
Sep 26
Oct 3
Elo · Sep 5: 1554
Elo · Sep 12: 1558
Elo · Sep 18: 1552
Elo · Sep 26: 1576
Elo · Oct 3: 1592
Season to date
Record
4-1
Conference
1-1
Home
3-0
Away
1-1
Against the spread
2-3
Over/under
4-1
Points for / against
41.0 / 19.8
Avg margin
+21.2