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Georgia State
Sun Belt · 2026
4-1
Record
8.0-4.0
Projected regular season
1%
Playoff chance
−2.9
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 17, 12:00 PM
at James Madison
23% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 4
vs
North Carolina A&T
W
59-10
−34.3
−28.5
Sep 12
at
Kennesaw State
W
31-17
+9.8
+7.5
Sep 19
at
UCF
L
30-44
+14.4
+17.5
Sep 26
vs
Northern Illinois
W
35-14
−11.3
−8.5
Oct 3
vs
Old Dominion
W
42-10
−7.3
−1.5
Oct 17
at
James Madison
23%
+11.8
–
Oct 24
at
Arkansas State
54%
−1.8
–
Oct 31
vs
Coastal Carolina
78%
−12.6
–
Nov 7
at
App State
60%
−4
–
Nov 14
vs
Georgia Southern
58%
−3.3
–
Nov 21
at
Marshall
65%
−6.5
–
Nov 28
vs
Louisiana
54%
−1.8
–
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.27
−0.16
−0.04
+0.07
+0.19
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: −0.24
Net · 2: −0.19
Net · 3: −0.11
Net · 4: −0.11
Net · 5: −0.12
Net · 6: −0.06
Net · 7: −0.06
Net · 8: −0.06
Net · 9: −0.06
Net · 10: −0.06
Net · 11: −0.06
Net · 12: −0.06
Net · 13: −0.06
Net · 15: −0.06
Offense · 1: −0.09
Offense · 2: −0.04
Offense · 3: +0.01
Offense · 4: +0.01
Offense · 5: −0.00
Offense · 6: +0.03
Offense · 7: +0.03
Offense · 8: +0.03
Offense · 9: +0.03
Offense · 10: +0.03
Offense · 11: +0.03
Offense · 12: +0.03
Offense · 13: +0.03
Offense · 15: +0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.15
Defense (lower is better) · 2: +0.15
Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.12
Defense (lower is better) · 4: +0.12
Defense (lower is better) · 5: +0.12
Defense (lower is better) · 6: +0.09
Defense (lower is better) · 7: +0.09
Defense (lower is better) · 8: +0.09
Defense (lower is better) · 9: +0.09
Defense (lower is better) · 10: +0.09
Defense (lower is better) · 11: +0.09
Defense (lower is better) · 12: +0.09
Defense (lower is better) · 13: +0.09
Defense (lower is better) · 15: +0.09
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1355
1382
1408
1434
1460
Sep 4
Sep 12
Sep 19
Sep 26
Oct 3
Elo · Sep 4: 1363
Elo · Sep 12: 1406
Elo · Sep 19: 1387
Elo · Sep 26: 1412
Elo · Oct 3: 1453
Season to date
Record
4-1
Conference
1-0
Home
3-0
Away
1-1
Against the spread
5-0
Over/under
3-2
Points for / against
39.4 / 19.0
Avg margin
+20.4