BEAVER
MODEL
Home
NFL
NCAAF
NBA
NCAAB
MLB
How It Works
My Slip
NCAAF
›
Teams
› Georgia Southern
Georgia Southern
Sun Belt · 2026
2-3
Record
5.7-6.3
Projected regular season
0%
Playoff chance
−4.8
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 10, 7:30 PM
vs James Madison
31% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 5
vs
Charleston Southern
W
31-0
−33.3
−28.5
Sep 12
at
Clemson
L
7-22
+14.8
+20.5
Sep 19
at
Jacksonville State
L
27-31
+1
+3.5
Sep 26
vs
22
Houston
L
28-42
+12.6
+17.5
Oct 3
at
Coastal Carolina
W
31-24
−5.8
−2.5
Oct 10
vs
James Madison
31%
+7.9
+7.5
Oct 15
at
Old Dominion
66%
−6.3
–
Oct 31
vs
App State
63%
−5.4
–
Nov 7
vs
Marshall
67%
−6.9
–
Nov 14
at
Georgia State
42%
+3.3
–
Nov 21
at
Troy
49%
+0.5
–
Nov 28
vs
Louisiana Tech
52%
−0.7
–
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.19
−0.10
−0.01
+0.08
+0.17
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: −0.16
Net · 2: −0.16
Net · 3: −0.10
Net · 4: −0.12
Net · 5: −0.13
Net · 6: −0.11
Net · 7: −0.11
Net · 8: −0.11
Net · 9: −0.11
Net · 10: −0.11
Net · 11: −0.11
Net · 12: −0.11
Net · 13: −0.11
Net · 15: −0.11
Offense · 1: −0.01
Offense · 2: −0.05
Offense · 3: −0.07
Offense · 4: −0.06
Offense · 5: −0.02
Offense · 6: −0.00
Offense · 7: −0.00
Offense · 8: −0.00
Offense · 9: −0.00
Offense · 10: −0.00
Offense · 11: −0.00
Offense · 12: −0.00
Offense · 13: −0.00
Offense · 15: −0.00
Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.15
Defense (lower is better) · 2: +0.12
Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.04
Defense (lower is better) · 4: +0.07
Defense (lower is better) · 5: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 6: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 7: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 8: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 9: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 10: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 11: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 12: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 13: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 15: +0.11
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1443
1460
1477
1494
1511
Sep 5
Sep 12
Sep 19
Sep 26
Oct 3
Elo · Sep 5: 1507
Elo · Sep 12: 1486
Elo · Sep 19: 1472
Elo · Sep 26: 1448
Elo · Oct 3: 1468
Season to date
Record
2-3
Conference
1-0
Home
1-1
Away
1-2
Against the spread
4-1
Over/under
3-2
Points for / against
24.8 / 23.8
Avg margin
+1.0