NCAAF › Teams › Fresno State

Fresno State

Pac-12 · 2026
4-1
Record
7.1-3.9
Projected regular season
1%
Playoff chance
−1.1
Rating (pts vs. avg)
NextSat, Oct 10, 10:30 PMvs Boise State32% to winMatchup →

Schedule

results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
DateOpponentResult / win chanceBeaver lineVegas
Sep 4
at19USC
L0-39+22.6+21.5
Sep 12W49-3−15.8−17.5
Sep 19W26-10−8.3−4
Sep 26W38-24−12.5−12.5
Oct 3W26-6+1.3+2.5
Oct 1032%+7.4+6.5
Oct 1757%−2.9–
Oct 3145%+1.8–
Nov 759%−3.5–
Nov 1437%+5.4–
Nov 2177%−12–

Rating by week

EPA per play vs. average
−0.19−0.13−0.07−0.00+0.06Entering week1234567891011121315Net · 1: −0.13Net · 2: −0.17Net · 3: −0.14Net · 4: −0.09Net · 5: −0.13Net · 6: −0.04Net · 7: −0.04Net · 8: −0.04Net · 9: −0.04Net · 10: −0.04Net · 11: −0.04Net · 12: −0.04Net · 13: −0.04Net · 15: −0.04Offense · 1: −0.09Offense · 2: −0.14Offense · 3: −0.12Offense · 4: −0.12Offense · 5: −0.10Offense · 6: −0.08Offense · 7: −0.08Offense · 8: −0.08Offense · 9: −0.08Offense · 10: −0.08Offense · 11: −0.08Offense · 12: −0.08Offense · 13: −0.08Offense · 15: −0.08Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.04Defense (lower is better) · 2: +0.03Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.02Defense (lower is better) · 4: −0.03Defense (lower is better) · 5: +0.03Defense (lower is better) · 6: −0.03Defense (lower is better) · 7: −0.03Defense (lower is better) · 8: −0.03Defense (lower is better) · 9: −0.03Defense (lower is better) · 10: −0.03Defense (lower is better) · 11: −0.03Defense (lower is better) · 12: −0.03Defense (lower is better) · 13: −0.03Defense (lower is better) · 15: −0.03
● Net● Offense● Defense (lower is better)

Elo rating

after each game
15081529155115731594Sep 4Sep 12Sep 19Sep 26Oct 3Elo · Sep 4: 1514Elo · Sep 12: 1526Elo · Sep 19: 1550Elo · Sep 26: 1562Elo · Oct 3: 1588

Season to date

Record
4-1
Conference
1-0
Home
2-0
Away
2-1
Against the spread
4-1
Over/under
2-3
Points for / against
27.8 / 16.4
Avg margin
+11.4