BEAVER
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› Duke
Duke
ACC · 2026
4-0
Record
8.1-3.9
Projected regular season
2%
Playoff chance
+5.9
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 10, 3:30 PM
at Georgia Tech
60% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 5
vs
Tulane
W
17-3
−11.9
−9.5
Sep 12
at
Illinois
W
31-27
+6.5
+6
Sep 19
vs
Stanford
W
35-7
−16.3
−9.5
Sep 26
vs
William & Mary
W
62-7
−51.9
−43.5
Oct 10
at
Georgia Tech
60%
−3.9
−6.5
Oct 17
vs
North Carolina
55%
−2
−4.5
Oct 23
at
Virginia
51%
−0.2
+6.5
Oct 31
vs
Boston College
85%
−16.3
–
Nov 7
at
NC State
47%
+1.4
–
Nov 14
at
4
Miami
11%
+19.9
+21
Nov 20
vs
Clemson
57%
−3
–
Nov 28
at
Wake Forest
39%
+4.4
–
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.07
−0.03
+0.01
+0.05
+0.09
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: +0.01
Net · 2: −0.05
Net · 3: +0.03
Net · 4: +0.07
Net · 5: +0.04
Net · 6: +0.02
Net · 7: +0.01
Net · 8: +0.01
Net · 9: +0.01
Net · 10: +0.01
Net · 11: +0.01
Net · 12: +0.01
Net · 13: +0.01
Net · 15: +0.01
Offense · 1: +0.05
Offense · 2: −0.05
Offense · 3: −0.02
Offense · 4: +0.02
Offense · 5: +0.01
Offense · 6: +0.00
Offense · 7: +0.00
Offense · 8: +0.00
Offense · 9: +0.00
Offense · 10: +0.00
Offense · 11: +0.00
Offense · 12: +0.00
Offense · 13: +0.00
Offense · 15: +0.00
Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.04
Defense (lower is better) · 2: −0.00
Defense (lower is better) · 3: −0.05
Defense (lower is better) · 4: −0.06
Defense (lower is better) · 5: −0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 6: −0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 7: −0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 8: −0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 9: −0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 10: −0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 11: −0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 12: −0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 13: −0.01
Defense (lower is better) · 15: −0.01
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1603
1613
1623
1634
1644
Sep 5
Sep 12
Sep 19
Sep 26
Elo · Sep 5: 1606
Elo · Sep 12: 1623
Elo · Sep 19: 1636
Elo · Sep 26: 1641
Season to date
Record
4-0
Conference
1-0
Home
3-0
Away
1-0
Against the spread
4-0
Over/under
2-2
Points for / against
36.2 / 11.0
Avg margin
+25.2