BEAVER
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8
BYU
Big 12 · 2026
4-0
Record
9.2-2.8
Projected regular season
33%
Playoff chance
+15.3
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Fri, Oct 9, 10:15 PM
vs Iowa State
85% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 5
vs
Utah Tech
W
63-7
−50.7
−50.5
Sep 12
vs
Arizona
W
28-17
−7.8
−6.5
Sep 19
at
Colorado State
W
41-23
−16.5
−17.5
Oct 3
at
TCU
W
17-10
−7.5
−5.5
Oct 9
vs
Iowa State
85%
−16.9
−10.5
Oct 17
vs
3
Notre Dame
31%
+8.1
+10
Oct 24
at
UCF
63%
−5.2
–
Oct 31
vs
Arizona State
84%
−15.8
–
Nov 7
at
12
Utah
38%
+4.9
+3
Nov 14
vs
Baylor
72%
−9.5
–
Nov 21
at
Kansas
67%
−6.9
–
Nov 28
vs
Cincinnati
86%
−17.7
–
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.13
−0.02
+0.09
+0.19
+0.30
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: +0.10
Net · 2: +0.18
Net · 3: +0.20
Net · 4: +0.26
Net · 5: +0.27
Net · 6: +0.25
Net · 7: +0.25
Net · 8: +0.25
Net · 9: +0.25
Net · 10: +0.25
Net · 11: +0.25
Net · 12: +0.25
Net · 13: +0.25
Net · 15: +0.25
Offense · 1: +0.08
Offense · 2: +0.10
Offense · 3: +0.17
Offense · 4: +0.19
Offense · 5: +0.19
Offense · 6: +0.15
Offense · 7: +0.15
Offense · 8: +0.15
Offense · 9: +0.15
Offense · 10: +0.15
Offense · 11: +0.15
Offense · 12: +0.15
Offense · 13: +0.15
Offense · 15: +0.15
Defense (lower is better) · 1: −0.02
Defense (lower is better) · 2: −0.08
Defense (lower is better) · 3: −0.03
Defense (lower is better) · 4: −0.06
Defense (lower is better) · 5: −0.08
Defense (lower is better) · 6: −0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 7: −0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 8: −0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 9: −0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 10: −0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 11: −0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 12: −0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 13: −0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 15: −0.10
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1631
1645
1660
1674
1688
Sep 5
Sep 12
Sep 19
Oct 3
Elo · Sep 5: 1635
Elo · Sep 12: 1653
Elo · Sep 19: 1667
Elo · Oct 3: 1684
Season to date
Record
4-0
Conference
2-0
Home
2-0
Away
2-0
Against the spread
4-0
Over/under
2-2
Points for / against
37.2 / 14.2
Avg margin
+23.0