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Buffalo
Mid-American · 2026
2-3
Record
4.6-7.4
Projected regular season
0%
Playoff chance
−19.0
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 10, 3:30 PM
at Toledo
5% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 3
vs
UAlbany
W
21-17
−31.2
−18.5
Sep 12
at
Florida International
L
20-33
+12.4
+8.5
Sep 19
at
Penn State
L
13-55
+29.5
+39.5
Sep 26
vs
Robert Morris
W
31-28
−27.4
−27.5
Oct 3
vs
Western Michigan
L
17-20
+17
+13.5
Oct 10
at
Toledo
5%
+26.6
+21
Oct 17
vs
Massachusetts
53%
−1.1
–
Oct 24
vs
Bowling Green
56%
−2.4
–
Nov 3
at
Miami (OH)
25%
+11
–
Nov 11
at
Ball State
46%
+1.7
–
Nov 18
vs
Central Michigan
36%
+5.9
–
Nov 27
at
Akron
39%
+4.6
–
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.49
−0.30
−0.11
+0.08
+0.27
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: −0.22
Net · 2: −0.31
Net · 3: −0.27
Net · 4: −0.32
Net · 5: −0.44
Net · 6: −0.40
Net · 7: −0.40
Net · 8: −0.40
Net · 9: −0.40
Net · 10: −0.40
Net · 11: −0.40
Net · 12: −0.40
Net · 13: −0.40
Net · 15: −0.40
Offense · 1: −0.12
Offense · 2: −0.16
Offense · 3: −0.12
Offense · 4: −0.14
Offense · 5: −0.21
Offense · 6: −0.20
Offense · 7: −0.20
Offense · 8: −0.20
Offense · 9: −0.20
Offense · 10: −0.20
Offense · 11: −0.20
Offense · 12: −0.20
Offense · 13: −0.20
Offense · 15: −0.20
Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.10
Defense (lower is better) · 2: +0.15
Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.14
Defense (lower is better) · 4: +0.17
Defense (lower is better) · 5: +0.22
Defense (lower is better) · 6: +0.20
Defense (lower is better) · 7: +0.20
Defense (lower is better) · 8: +0.20
Defense (lower is better) · 9: +0.20
Defense (lower is better) · 10: +0.20
Defense (lower is better) · 11: +0.20
Defense (lower is better) · 12: +0.20
Defense (lower is better) · 13: +0.20
Defense (lower is better) · 15: +0.20
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1407
1419
1431
1443
1454
Sep 3
Sep 12
Sep 19
Sep 26
Oct 3
Elo · Sep 3: 1451
Elo · Sep 12: 1428
Elo · Sep 19: 1417
Elo · Sep 26: 1421
Elo · Oct 3: 1411
Season to date
Record
2-3
Conference
0-1
Home
2-1
Away
0-2
Against the spread
1-4
Over/under
3-2
Points for / against
20.4 / 30.6
Avg margin
-10.2