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Bowling Green
Mid-American · 2026
1-4
Record
3.7-8.3
Projected regular season
0%
Playoff chance
−20.6
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 10, 12:00 PM
vs Sacramento State
67% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 5
vs
Tarleton State
L
13-20
−12
−1.5
Sep 12
at
Nebraska
L
7-56
+32.4
+30.5
Sep 19
at
Iowa State
L
7-55
+22.6
+22.5
Sep 26
vs
South Florida
L
6-14
+24.4
+17.5
Oct 3
at
Miami (OH)
W
24-20
+17.3
+10.5
Oct 10
vs
Sacramento State
67%
−6.9
−7.5
Oct 17
vs
Ball State
52%
−0.7
–
Oct 24
at
Buffalo
44%
+2.4
–
Oct 31
at
Western Michigan
11%
+19.2
–
Nov 10
vs
Kent State
46%
+1.7
–
Nov 20
at
Toledo
6%
+25.1
–
Nov 28
vs
Massachusetts
44%
+2.3
–
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.51
−0.33
−0.14
+0.04
+0.22
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: −0.27
Net · 2: −0.38
Net · 3: −0.45
Net · 4: −0.46
Net · 5: −0.43
Net · 6: −0.35
Net · 7: −0.35
Net · 8: −0.35
Net · 9: −0.35
Net · 10: −0.35
Net · 11: −0.35
Net · 12: −0.35
Net · 13: −0.35
Net · 15: −0.35
Offense · 1: −0.15
Offense · 2: −0.27
Offense · 3: −0.28
Offense · 4: −0.29
Offense · 5: −0.31
Offense · 6: −0.26
Offense · 7: −0.26
Offense · 8: −0.26
Offense · 9: −0.26
Offense · 10: −0.26
Offense · 11: −0.26
Offense · 12: −0.26
Offense · 13: −0.26
Offense · 15: −0.26
Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 2: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.17
Defense (lower is better) · 4: +0.17
Defense (lower is better) · 5: +0.12
Defense (lower is better) · 6: +0.09
Defense (lower is better) · 7: +0.09
Defense (lower is better) · 8: +0.09
Defense (lower is better) · 9: +0.09
Defense (lower is better) · 10: +0.09
Defense (lower is better) · 11: +0.09
Defense (lower is better) · 12: +0.09
Defense (lower is better) · 13: +0.09
Defense (lower is better) · 15: +0.09
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1349
1361
1374
1386
1399
Sep 5
Sep 12
Sep 19
Sep 26
Oct 3
Elo · Sep 5: 1395
Elo · Sep 12: 1377
Elo · Sep 19: 1362
Elo · Sep 26: 1352
Elo · Oct 3: 1378
Season to date
Record
1-4
Conference
1-0
Home
0-2
Away
1-2
Against the spread
2-3
Over/under
3-2
Points for / against
11.4 / 33.0
Avg margin
-21.6