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Ball State
Mid-American · 2026
1-4
Record
3.7-8.3
Projected regular season
0%
Playoff chance
−19.4
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 10, 12:30 PM
at Northwestern
1% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 5
at
5
Ohio State
L
3-56
+46.1
+50.5
Sep 12
vs
Stony Brook
W
41-17
−21.1
−13.5
Sep 19
at
Liberty
L
15-51
+13.2
+14.5
Sep 26
at
Kent State
L
13-26
+0.8
+2.5
Oct 3
vs
Toledo
L
24-39
+21.6
+20.5
Oct 10
at
Northwestern
1%
+36
+36.5
Oct 17
at
Bowling Green
48%
+0.7
–
Oct 24
vs
Sacramento State
70%
−8.5
–
Nov 4
at
Massachusetts
44%
+2.4
–
Nov 11
vs
Buffalo
54%
−1.7
–
Nov 17
at
Ohio
16%
+15.8
–
Nov 28
vs
Central Michigan
34%
+6.6
–
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.42
−0.25
−0.07
+0.10
+0.28
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: −0.26
Net · 2: −0.32
Net · 3: −0.32
Net · 4: −0.37
Net · 5: −0.37
Net · 6: −0.34
Net · 7: −0.34
Net · 8: −0.34
Net · 9: −0.34
Net · 10: −0.34
Net · 11: −0.34
Net · 12: −0.34
Net · 13: −0.34
Net · 15: −0.34
Offense · 1: −0.14
Offense · 2: −0.15
Offense · 3: −0.16
Offense · 4: −0.15
Offense · 5: −0.15
Offense · 6: −0.13
Offense · 7: −0.13
Offense · 8: −0.13
Offense · 9: −0.13
Offense · 10: −0.13
Offense · 11: −0.13
Offense · 12: −0.13
Offense · 13: −0.13
Offense · 15: −0.13
Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.12
Defense (lower is better) · 2: +0.16
Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.16
Defense (lower is better) · 4: +0.23
Defense (lower is better) · 5: +0.22
Defense (lower is better) · 6: +0.21
Defense (lower is better) · 7: +0.21
Defense (lower is better) · 8: +0.21
Defense (lower is better) · 9: +0.21
Defense (lower is better) · 10: +0.21
Defense (lower is better) · 11: +0.21
Defense (lower is better) · 12: +0.21
Defense (lower is better) · 13: +0.21
Defense (lower is better) · 15: +0.21
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1327
1345
1363
1380
1398
Sep 5
Sep 12
Sep 19
Sep 26
Oct 3
Elo · Sep 5: 1376
Elo · Sep 12: 1393
Elo · Sep 19: 1367
Elo · Sep 26: 1346
Elo · Oct 3: 1332
Season to date
Record
1-4
Conference
0-2
Home
1-1
Away
0-3
Against the spread
2-3
Over/under
4-1
Points for / against
19.2 / 37.8
Avg margin
-18.6