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› Arkansas State
Arkansas State
Sun Belt · 2026
2-3
Record
6.1-5.9
Projected regular season
0%
Playoff chance
−6.2
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Thu, Oct 8, 7:30 PM
vs South Alabama
63% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 5
at
Memphis
L
24-42
+10.5
+10.5
Sep 12
vs
West Georgia
W
52-7
−36.1
−31.5
Sep 19
at
TCU
L
7-31
+13.3
+18.5
Sep 26
vs
Kennesaw State
W
17-14
−7.4
−6.5
Oct 3
at
Louisiana
L
20-23
+6.7
+4.5
Oct 8
vs
South Alabama
63%
−5.5
−1.5
Oct 17
at
Southern Miss
54%
−1.8
–
Oct 24
vs
Georgia State
46%
+1.8
–
Nov 7
vs
UL Monroe
87%
−18.2
–
Nov 14
at
Coastal Carolina
64%
−5.9
–
Nov 21
at
Louisiana Tech
39%
+4.5
–
Nov 28
vs
Troy
54%
−1.6
–
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.32
−0.19
−0.06
+0.08
+0.21
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: −0.20
Net · 2: −0.21
Net · 3: −0.26
Net · 4: −0.28
Net · 5: −0.24
Net · 6: −0.22
Net · 7: −0.22
Net · 8: −0.22
Net · 9: −0.22
Net · 10: −0.22
Net · 11: −0.22
Net · 12: −0.22
Net · 13: −0.22
Net · 15: −0.22
Offense · 1: −0.09
Offense · 2: −0.05
Offense · 3: −0.08
Offense · 4: −0.13
Offense · 5: −0.10
Offense · 6: −0.06
Offense · 7: −0.06
Offense · 8: −0.06
Offense · 9: −0.06
Offense · 10: −0.06
Offense · 11: −0.06
Offense · 12: −0.06
Offense · 13: −0.06
Offense · 15: −0.06
Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.11
Defense (lower is better) · 2: +0.16
Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.17
Defense (lower is better) · 4: +0.16
Defense (lower is better) · 5: +0.14
Defense (lower is better) · 6: +0.16
Defense (lower is better) · 7: +0.16
Defense (lower is better) · 8: +0.16
Defense (lower is better) · 9: +0.16
Defense (lower is better) · 10: +0.16
Defense (lower is better) · 11: +0.16
Defense (lower is better) · 12: +0.16
Defense (lower is better) · 13: +0.16
Defense (lower is better) · 15: +0.16
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1453
1459
1464
1469
1474
Sep 5
Sep 12
Sep 19
Sep 26
Oct 3
Elo · Sep 5: 1461
Elo · Sep 12: 1473
Elo · Sep 19: 1455
Elo · Sep 26: 1466
Elo · Oct 3: 1456
Season to date
Record
2-3
Conference
0-1
Home
2-0
Away
0-3
Against the spread
2-3
Over/under
2-3
Points for / against
24.0 / 23.4
Avg margin
+0.6