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Air Force
Mountain West · 2026
3-1
Record
7.3-4.7
Projected regular season
0%
Playoff chance
−8.5
Rating (pts vs. avg)
Next
Sat, Oct 10, 7:30 PM
at Northern Illinois
58% to win
Matchup →
Schedule
results, or Beaver’s win chance for games ahead
Date
Opponent
Result / win chance
Beaver line
Vegas
Sep 5
vs
Duquesne
W
34-0
−21.8
−31.5
Sep 12
vs
North Dakota State
L
32-38
−2.7
+1.5
Sep 26
at
Nevada
W
36-33
+2.5
−4.5
Oct 3
vs
Navy
W
14-9
−1.3
−2.5
Oct 10
at
Northern Illinois
58%
−3.2
−7.5
Oct 17
vs
UNLV
50%
+0.1
–
Oct 23
at
Wyoming
67%
−6.8
–
Oct 31
vs
UConn
58%
−3.2
–
Nov 7
at
Army
29%
+9
–
Nov 14
vs
San José State
69%
−8
–
Nov 20
vs
UTEP
85%
−16.4
–
Nov 28
at
New Mexico
14%
+17.4
–
Rating by week
EPA per play vs. average
−0.36
−0.20
−0.03
+0.14
+0.30
Entering week
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
15
Net · 1: −0.32
Net · 2: −0.25
Net · 3: −0.20
Net · 4: −0.18
Net · 5: −0.15
Net · 6: −0.21
Net · 7: −0.21
Net · 8: −0.21
Net · 9: −0.21
Net · 10: −0.21
Net · 11: −0.21
Net · 12: −0.21
Net · 13: −0.21
Net · 15: −0.21
Offense · 1: −0.06
Offense · 2: −0.07
Offense · 3: −0.03
Offense · 4: −0.02
Offense · 5: +0.02
Offense · 6: −0.07
Offense · 7: −0.07
Offense · 8: −0.07
Offense · 9: −0.07
Offense · 10: −0.07
Offense · 11: −0.07
Offense · 12: −0.07
Offense · 13: −0.07
Offense · 15: −0.07
Defense (lower is better) · 1: +0.26
Defense (lower is better) · 2: +0.18
Defense (lower is better) · 3: +0.17
Defense (lower is better) · 4: +0.16
Defense (lower is better) · 5: +0.17
Defense (lower is better) · 6: +0.14
Defense (lower is better) · 7: +0.14
Defense (lower is better) · 8: +0.14
Defense (lower is better) · 9: +0.14
Defense (lower is better) · 10: +0.14
Defense (lower is better) · 11: +0.14
Defense (lower is better) · 12: +0.14
Defense (lower is better) · 13: +0.14
Defense (lower is better) · 15: +0.14
●
Net
●
Offense
●
Defense (lower is better)
Elo rating
after each game
1449
1458
1468
1478
1488
Sep 5
Sep 12
Sep 26
Oct 3
Elo · Sep 5: 1471
Elo · Sep 12: 1451
Elo · Sep 26: 1465
Elo · Oct 3: 1485
Season to date
Record
3-1
Conference
1-1
Home
2-1
Away
1-0
Against the spread
2-2
Over/under
2-2
Points for / against
29.0 / 20.0
Avg margin
+9.0